Ben Taylor, creator of the popular YouTube channel Thinking Basketball (and author of Thinking Basketball the book) goes deeper on basketball analysis, history, philosophy and theory with a variety of guests ranging from journalists to former players. Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/thinking-basketball/support
#290: 2025 NBA Season preview
We preview the 2025 NBA season. Who can win the East or the West? Who starts the season in the inner circle of title contenders? Are there sleeper teams? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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We bounce around the preseason with thoughts on Reed Sheppard in Houston, Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs, Paolo Banchero's maturity in Orlando, the importance of aging stars and more. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/16/2024 • 52 minutes, 41 seconds
#288: Are we wrong? Arguing against ourselves
We take some our most strongly held beliefs and argue against them. (!) We discuss Nikola Jokic's offensive GOAT case, Jaylen Brown's lackluster plus-minus footprint, the valuing of defensive rebounding and more. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/12/2024 • 1 hour, 31 minutes, 37 seconds
#287: The KAT Knicks are fascinating
We discuss the Karl-Anthony Towns and Julius Randle blockbuster trade between the Knicks and the Timberwolves. What does this mean for these teams going forward? Are the Knicks going to be better on offense and defense? Will the change influence their style of play? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/2/2024 • 49 minutes, 20 seconds
#286: Top teams of the Pace & Space era, Part II
Who were the best teams of the last decade? In Part 2 or a our two part finale, we discuss the best remaining teams, non Finalists and champs, and attempt to stack up a list of the best teams of the last decade. Where will the Rockets, Warriors, Spurs, Cavs and more end up? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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9/27/2024 • 1 hour, 41 minutes, 42 seconds
#284: Top teams of the Pace & Space era, Part I
Who were the best teams of the last decade? In Part 1 or a our two part finale, we discuss the best teams that didn't reach the NBA Finals, and if any were championship quality teams that might make our final list. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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9/16/2024 • 1 hour, 7 minutes, 26 seconds
#283: Top coaches of the Pace & Space Era
Who is the best coach in modern basketball? We discuss the great coaches of the last decade, including what makes an effective coach, how do we evaluate coaches, how to partition credit when great players are present and more. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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9/5/2024 • 1 hour, 40 minutes, 4 seconds
#282: Top offensive players of the Pace & Space Era
We continue our “Best of Pace & Space” series by looking at the best offensive players of the last decade. We discuss different archetypes, playoff changes, challenges comparing different styles and more. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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8/14/2024 • 1 hour, 33 minutes, 37 seconds
#281: 2024 Olympic Tournament
We discuss the medal round of the FIBA Olympic Tournament, how would we construct the Team USA roster, Germany, Canada and more. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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8/8/2024 • 57 minutes, 26 seconds
#280: The best rookies of the Pace & Space Era
We continue our “Best of Pace & Space” series by looking at the best rookies of the last decade? What makes a great rookie? How many of the best rookies red-shirted? How should we handle missed time? And just how good were the best freshman of this period? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/30/2024 • 1 hour, 28 minutes, 7 seconds
#279: 2024 NBA Draft (post Summer League)
With the knowledge of summer league, Ahmed Jama of Swish Theory joins to discuss the 2024 NBA draft. Are there hidden stars in this class? Are the top picks ready to play right away? And who, if anyone, stood out after Summer League in Vegas? Follow Ahmed @slipthescreen. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/24/2024 • 1 hour, 20 minutes, 15 seconds
#278: The best 3&Ds of the Pace & Space Era
We continue our “Best of Pace & Space” series by looking at the best “Three and D” players of the last decade. What's the history of 3&D? Do better teams tend to have more of these players? And who has been the best of this archetype? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/19/2024 • 1 hour, 16 minutes, 47 seconds
#277: The best iso scorers of the Pace & Space Era
We kick off our “Best of Pace & Space” series by looking at the best isolation scorers of the last decade. What does it mean to be a great iso scorer? What types of plays are considered isolation? And how can we interpret “isolation” numbers for different types of passers and scorers? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/9/2024 • 1 hour, 37 minutes, 10 seconds
#276: 2-way forwards are more valuable than ever
After Paul George's move to Philadelphia and O.G. Anunoby's contract with the Knicks, we discuss the importance of big, “two-way” forwards in today's NBA, why they give teams so much versatility, and how they fill a massive playoff need for nearly every contender. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/2/2024 • 1 hour, 5 minutes, 28 seconds
#275: Top-10 players of 2024
It's time for the annual top-10 players list. We discuss the players we think are “best” when healthiest, based on adding value to other playoff-level teams, and finally attempt to adjust for their health and injury problems at the end of the year. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/26/2024 • 1 hour, 47 minutes, 27 seconds
#274: Top-10 teams of 2024
Who were the best teams this season? How did matchups, injuries an parity influence the results of the 2024 playoffs? First, we wrap up the Celtics-Mavs Finals, then we attempt to rank the best teams based on what we just saw in the playoffs. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/20/2024 • 1 hour, 45 minutes, 24 seconds
#273: Celtics on the brink
We discuss Games 1 and 2 of the NBA Finals – can the Dallas Mavericks make any adjustments? Why has been Boston been so successful? Who is the Finals MVP thus far? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/10/2024 • 1 hour, 1 minute, 57 seconds
#272: 2024 NBA Finals Preview
We preview the 2024 NBA Finals – will the Celtics come in with a matchup advantage against the Mavs? How does Dallas defend Boston's elite offense? Will the Celtics throw a curveball at Luka Doncic? We discuss this and much more in our Finals Preview. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/4/2024 • 1 hour, 10 minutes, 23 seconds
#271: Why are the Mavs cooking the Wolves?
How has Dallas taken a 3-0 lead over the Timberwolves? What happened to the Minnesota defense? We also discuss playoff narratives, rim finishing after the officiating points of emphasis, and a classic Cody history question at the end. Remember to be kind. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/28/2024 • 1 hour, 7 minutes, 34 seconds
#270: Wolves win (!) a crazy series & playoff shooting
How did Minnesota dethrone the Denver Nuggets? We break down Game 7, compare this to other classic series, and also discuss an interesting difference between regular season shooting and playoff shooting. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/20/2024 • 1 hour, 3 minutes, 45 seconds
#269: Denver is alive! + The Robert Horry Award
The Nuggets are apparently not dead despite the rumors – who is in the driver's seat in that series with 3 games remaining between Denver and the Minnesota Timberwolves? Who has the edge between the Dallas Mavericks and the Oklahoma City Thunder right now? Plus, the Role Player of the Playoffs. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/14/2024 • 1 hour, 7 minutes, 19 seconds
#268: No more Luka-ball!? Bizarro Cavs strike
What did the Mavericks do that was so radically different with Luka Doncic from Game 1? Eric Pincus from Bleacher Report and Sports Business Classroom stops by to discuss Game 2 between Oklahoma City and Dallas. Plus, the Cavs find a way to attack the Celtics and take Game 2. Follow @EricPincus. Sign up for Sports Business Classroom with code THINKING BASKETBALLwww.sportsbusinessclassroom.com
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Why are the Wolves destroying the Nuggets? How good is their defense? Will it keeps up? We break down that series, along with previewing the other Western Conference Semifinal playoff series between the Thunder and the Dallas Mavericks. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball Sign up for Sports Business Classroom with code THINKING BASKETBALLwww.sportsbusinessclassroom.com
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5/7/2024 • 1 hour, 3 minutes, 59 seconds
#266: Best players of Round 1
Who were the best players of the First round of the playoffs? Ben selects his 1st and 2nd team All-NBA teams based on the opening round of the 2024 playoffs, factoring in opponent quality, role and more. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball Sign up for Sports Business Classroom with code THINKING BASKETBALL www.sportsbusinessclassroom.com
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5/3/2024 • 52 minutes, 10 seconds
#265: Wolves-Nuggets, Mavs-Clippers, Knicks on brink
The Wolves are the first team to advanced in the 2024 NBA playoffs, and we break down a potential matchup with the Nuggets, the Mavs size and the Clippers offense without Kawhi Leonard and the physical Knicks-76ers series. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/29/2024 • 1 hour, 2 minutes, 30 seconds
#264: Size + Defense dominate the start of the playoffs
We break down the thrilling Game 1 between the Philadelphia 76ers and New Yorks Knicks, the stunning Clippers victory over the Mavs and their gameplan for Luka, and discuss the physical and change in officiating during the first weekend of the 2024 NBA playoffs. Plus out top-8 home court atmospheres. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/22/2024 • 57 minutes, 4 seconds
#263: 2024 Playoff preview
We preview the 2024 NBA Playoffs! Incredibly pivotal play-in games. Are the Celtics and Nuggets inevitable? Can the Los Angeles teams make a run? Who will be healthy? Is there a sleeper in the East? And what is the exact probability the Timberwolves beat the Suns? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/15/2024 • 1 hour, 19 minutes, 33 seconds
#262: What have we changed our minds about?
We talk about what players and ideas we're changed our minds on in the recent years, the impact of “little things” adding up in the game, judging impact, fit and more. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/12/2024 • 53 minutes
#261: 2024 Thinkies! (Defensive Awards)
It's again time for the annual Defensive Awards! We hand out awards for best paint protector, perimeter helper and more, as well as discussing some of the current value-drivers philosophical ideas about defense in the 2024 NBA. What player will show up in the most categories? Will anyone win multiple categories? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/9/2024 • 1 hour, 30 minutes, 17 seconds
#260: Jalen power rankings & Playoff officiating
The officiating points of emphasis have reigned in scoring and curtailed some penetrators – who will this impact the most in the playoffs? Plus, the Rockets are hot, and who is the best “Jalen” in the NBA? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/1/2024 • 59 minutes, 52 seconds
#259: 2024 Playoff draft
Who will have the best performance in the 2024 playoffs? We draft a team based on breakout stars, supporting stars, role players and sixth men for the 2024 NBA playoffs. Early bird price at Sportsbusinessclassroom.com with signup code THINKING BASKETBALL. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/26/2024 • 1 hour, 13 minutes, 59 seconds
#258: Poor fit? The Suns, Cavs and Pelicans
Cleveland, Phoenix and New Orleans have a ton of talent, but have all been inconsistent or mysterious throughout the season. We discuss how the stars fit together, the role player “fit,” the importance of coaching in fit and more. Early bird price at Sportsbusinessclassroom.com with signup code THINKING BASKETBALL. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/18/2024 • 1 hour, 8 minutes, 33 seconds
#257: Finals players, defense is back & Cinderella Warriors
Are the Golden State Warriors good enough to win a playoff series this year? We discuss their good play of late when Steph Curry is on the floor, but first, there's been a drop in defensive rating and a change in officiating. Also, what are the indicators that a player will translate to the highest level of basketball in the playoffs and NBA Finals? Early bird price at Sportsbusinessclassroom.com with signup code THINKING BASKETBALL. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/11/2024 • 1 hour, 18 seconds
#256: What are the Celtics weaknesses?
The Boston Celtics are on the most dominant 11-game win streak in NBA history! We rank the most important Celtics for their playoff run, attempt to contextualize some of their regular season success, and attempt to list possible playoff weaknesses for Boston heading into the postseason. Early bird price at Sportsbusinessclassroom.com with signup code THINKING BASKETBALL. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/5/2024 • 1 hour, 57 seconds
#255: Are the Thunder serious contenders? | Blame Doc!
We discuss whether the incredibly young Oklahoma City Thunder can be the youngest team in NBA history to win a title. Plus, what's really wrong with the Milwaukee Bucks after hiring Doc Rivers, and MVP narratives and a darkhorse Cody prediction. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/27/2024 • 56 minutes, 6 seconds
#254: The Wild West with No Dunks
The No Dunks team stops by to discuss the stretch run of the season in the Western Conference (with some Eastern Conference discussion). Who will take the top seed? Where are the Oklahoma City Thunder headed? Can anyone knock off the Denver Nuggets? How do the Clippers and Timberwolves matchup with their size? Follow @TasMelas @treykerby @jeskeets Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/22/2024 • 55 minutes, 3 seconds
#253: Jokic, the efficiency king? | Overall scoring & turnovers
What can turnovers tell us about ball-handlers, passers and scorers? Who becomes the most efficient scorers when we account for “scoring” turnovers? In this solo episode, Ben looks at how this impact Nikola Jokic's scoring, Steve Nash and Chris Paul as “aggressive” vs. “conservative” passers, Tyrese Haliburton and Allen Iverson as ball-handlers and more. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball Sign up for Sports Business Classroom with code THINKING BASKETBALLwww.sportsbusinessclassroom.com
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2/18/2024 • 58 minutes, 20 seconds
#252: 2024 Sub All-Stars!
We select the 6th annual Sub All-Stars or “Almost Stars,” the players who are in the next tier after All-Stars. First, we sort out All-Star level players, then discuss players on the fringe and possible Sub All-Stars. Who makes the cut? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/12/2024 • 1 hour, 39 minutes, 28 seconds
#251: Victor Wembanyama's ceiling
The Ringer's J. Kyle Mann returns to discuss Wemby's incredible potential after exploding in the last month. What are realistic areas of improvement for him? What does he look like with more size? We discuss his offensive potential, defensive feel and IQ and whether he could have the highest peak we've ever seen. Follow @jkylemann. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/9/2024 • 1 hour, 14 minutes, 26 seconds
#250: The Cavs are on fire & the next hot team
Cleveland has moved into the 2nd seed in the East after a bumpy start. Why are so many teams catching fire in the mid season? How do we make sense of a league with so many poor teams at the bottom of the standings? And is there another team waiting to make a run up the standings? Mo Dakhil and John Schuhmann join. Follow @johnschuhmann @MoDakhil_NBA. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/6/2024 • 53 minutes, 30 seconds
#249: OG's unstoppable Knicks & modern offensive rebounding
Dave DuFour joins to discuss the surging Knicks since the OG Anunoby trade, what makes him such a good fit in New York, and why the Knicks are so good at offensive rebounding. But first, a big Clippers announcement after the Boston game. Follow @DaveDuFourNBA. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/29/2024 • 57 minutes, 46 seconds
#248: No. 1 options on really bad offenses
There can be a razor's edge for young players putting up big stats on bad teams. We discuss these polarizing players, whether they're miscast as primary options, the inconvenient truth about shooting efficiency, and why we're lower – for this season, at least – on players like Cade Cunningham and Paolo Banchero because of it. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/26/2024 • 1 hour, 1 minute, 50 seconds
#247: The top passers in the NBA
What makes a great passer? What characteristics set the best apart from the rest? We discuss the different types of passers in the NBA, some archetypes of passers that aren't quite as valuable, and attempt to sort out the best passers in the in 2024 right now. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/22/2024 • 1 hour, 9 minutes, 6 seconds
#246: How are the Utah Jazz suddenly so good?!
Is Will Hardy making a push for Coach of the Year? How are the Jazz suddenly playing so well? Are they going to make the playoffs and bump Golden State or the Lakers out? We discuss Utah's white hot month, coaching adjustments, and the all-time legendary team the Jazz remind us of. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/15/2024 • 53 minutes, 12 seconds
#245: Is Quickley a diamond in the rough? & Are stars playing longer?
We break down the Knicks-Raptors trade involving Immanuel Quickley, R.J. Barrett and O.G. Anunoby, and discuss trading a known commodity versus a potential breakout star in a bench role. Plus, with LeBron James and others excelling in their late 30s, are stars playing longer today than ever before? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/9/2024 • 54 minutes, 26 seconds
#244: A new title contender? | Power rankings
The Clippers are hot and the Thunder are fighting for the top seed – are either inner circle contenders for the 2024 NBA championship? Can Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and OKC's creative offense be schemed for? Plus, Cody makes a bold proclamation about Nick Nurse and the 76ers, and there's a violent disagreement (or agreement) about the Bucks. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/4/2024 • 1 hour, 13 minutes, 22 seconds
#243: Top 25 under 25 draft (2024)
Who are the best young players in the league right now? We draft the top players who are in their age 24 (or younger) season according to basketball-reference, if the playoffs were to start today. What happens when Ben forgets to follow his board and forces Cody to do a re-draft? What do we make of players struggling to start the season? Where should the microwave scorers go? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/28/2023 • 1 hour, 50 minutes, 3 seconds
#242: Will the offensive explosion ever stop?
Offensive rating around the league is up AGAIN! Multiple teams would be “the best offense in NBA history” by efficiency right now – why? What's changed? What's driving this? Will it stop? We discuss three major factors driving the offensive explosion, whether it “should” be changed, and how defenses can be helped going forward. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/21/2023 • 1 hour, 1 minute, 18 seconds
#241: Who has the best defense in the league?
Boston and Minnesota have the best records in the league, but who has a better playoff defense? We discuss the sustainability of the Timberwolves impressive defensive, along with the makeup of the other top defenses team in the league. Plus, Derrick White, Kirstaps Porzingis, and the incredible way the Celtics assembled their starting 5. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/18/2023 • 1 hour, 4 minutes, 11 seconds
#240: Embiid vs. Giannis in 2024 | Great Debates
Who is better right now, Joel Embiid or Giannis Antetokounmpo? We discuss the offensive and defensive strengths of these former MVPs, the new context of their seasons (and coaches), Embiid's passing improvement, their defensive versatility and more in this resurrection of the Great Debates series. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/14/2023 • 1 hour, 2 minutes, 55 seconds
#239: Anthony Davis's weird “peak” & the end of Small Ball?
Can you have an all-time peak without a big regular season? How important is a “single series” playoff peak? After Anthony Davis's dominant NBA Cup Final (In-season Tournament) for the Lakers over the Pacers, we discuss bully ball, defensive versatility, twin towers and the importance of size in today's NBA. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/11/2023 • 50 minutes, 37 seconds
#238: MVP predictions
We make our MVP predictions for the 2024 season, filling out our predicted top-5 ballots by balancing narrative, player performance and team trajectories after the first 20 games of the year. But first, more NBA Cup predictions. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/7/2023 • 1 hour, 13 minutes, 41 seconds
#237: “Overrating” Luka + Cup predictions
We break down the quarterfinal matchups in the first ever NBA Cup while handicapping the games – will there be adjustments? Added intensity? A massive home-court edge? But before that, we dive into the recent “Luka is overrated” thread and try to make sense of his massive box score stats and underwhelming scoreboard signal. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/4/2023 • 59 minutes, 41 seconds
#236: Top-10 duos in the NBA
We attempt to rank the best pairings of current teammates in the NBA, taking into account the fit of each player and building around them. What great duos are in bad situations? Which ones look better because of their team success? Are there any duos that Cody actually likes? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/30/2023 • 1 hour, 23 minutes, 27 seconds
#235: Do you believe in Magic? (And Thunder? And Pace?)
We discuss the importance of pace and the shot clock – both offensively and defensively – but first! We break down the top-rated defense in the NBA, what makes them successful, and whether they can sustain this. Along with “do you believe” in great starts like the Timberwolves and Chet Holmgren's outside shooting. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/28/2023 • 1 hour, 1 minute, 5 seconds
#234: J. Kyle Mann | 2024 Rookies
In a crazy episode, The Ringer's J. Kyle Mann discusses his new Rookie rankings, the floater 3-pointer, Chet vs. Wemby, Scoot Henderson's bumpy start and more. With @codyhoudek and @jkylemann. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/22/2023 • 1 hour, 21 minutes, 42 seconds
#233: Most Improved Player predictions
Who is taking a leap? Which players look like the most improved? We discuss our candidates for the Most Improved Player award, and debate whether the Rockets can make the playoffs based on their strong start. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/17/2023 • 1 hour, 8 minutes, 24 seconds
#232: Power rankings | Are the Mavs legit?
We sort out our “inner circle” contenders, fringe contenders and other possible “really good team” candidates after the first 10 games or so of the so, and discuss the new-look Mavericks and Luka Doncic. Is their 8-2 start for real? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/13/2023 • 58 minutes, 26 seconds
231: Defensive Player of the Year predictions
We discuss the best defenders of the early season who are candidates for Defensive Player of the Year. How good is this Timberwolves defense? Will there be another non-big in the race at the end of the year? Will a former winner repeat? Who will win our made up competition? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/9/2023 • 59 minutes
#230: OKC, modern basketball & an UNREAL perimeter defender
We discuss the Thunder's positionless basketball and their young core, the versatility of big men like Joel Embiid and the new look 76ers, and an incredible perimeter defender who is emerging in the midwest. With @codyhoudek. Support atwww.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/6/2023 • 55 minutes, 28 seconds
#229: A ROY race (!), the new Warriors & LA's offense
We discuss the exciting start of Chet Holmgren and Victor Wembanyama, the Bucks early start with Damian Lillard, the Lakers bumpy offense, the Magic defense, and Chris Paul's Golden State Warriors. Plus, a look ahead at the first ever NBA cup. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/31/2023 • 56 minutes, 10 seconds
#228: 2024 NBA season preview
We preview the upcoming NBA season, mapping out the contenders in each Conference, possible surprise teams, arguments over health and availability, the best leg pressers and more. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/24/2023 • 1 hour, 26 minutes, 56 seconds
#227: Best rim finishers of the 3-pt era
We attempt to discuss who the best rim “finishers” (scorers?) of the last 40-something years. How should we balance finishing near the rim as a big man versus driving into the paint? What about roll men versus post up players? How many small players should be considered great rim finishers? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/14/2023 • 1 hour, 25 minutes, 5 seconds
#226: What do stats miss? | Lessons from Offensive Legends
What are the blindspots in analyzing basketball players? What do stats fail to capture, and what concepts are rarely (or never!) discussed that make an impact on the court? We look to some of the Offensive Legends for insights on areas that are overshadowed by Episode 3's “the Tyranny of the Quantifiable.” With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/5/2023 • 1 hour, 2 minutes, 8 seconds
#225: Jrue Holiday vs. Damian Lillard in Milwaukee
We breakdown the blockbuster trade for Milwaukee, but first we help Cody through the loss of one his all-time favorite Bucks, Jrue Holiday. Also, the first ever “Guess That Number.” With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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9/28/2023 • 47 minutes, 16 seconds
#224: Who *could* be the GOAT? (Part 3)
In the finale, we list possible GOAT peaks, talk about intricacies in turnovers, decision-making, and on-ball primacy while going deep on Larry Bird, David Robinson, Hakeem Olajuwon and more. We also discuss issues with head-to-head matchups or specific playoff series as dispositive measures of ranking players. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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9/20/2023 • 1 hour, 42 minutes, 39 seconds
#223: Who *could* be the GOAT? (Part 2)
In part 2, we discuss the strengths of weaknesses of some specific players, the nature of interactions between teammates, using players optimally, and the value (and confusion) of the scoreboard family of stats. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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9/14/2023 • 1 hour, 15 minutes, 17 seconds
#222: Who *could* be the GOAT? (Part I)
Who REALLY had the best peak in NBA history? In discussing players with “GOAT” cases, we hit on the uncertainty of player rankings, methods of determining player impact, and the evidence that we're heavily influenced by teammate quality when splitting hairs among the best players. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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8/31/2023 • 1 hour, 24 minutes, 30 seconds
#221: Potential breakout players in 2024
We discuss players on our radar for taking a big leap this season – and some of the teams that might impact – although so much hilarity ensues that we forgot to mention Keegan Murray's possible on-ball expansion. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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8/25/2023 • 1 hour, 5 minutes, 35 seconds
#220: The best defenders of the last 15 years | Guards
In part 3 of our series, we look at the best guard defenders since 2008. What makes a small player a good defender? How valuable are they? How do they stack up with bigger defenders, and what's changed in the last 15 years? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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8/18/2023 • 1 hour, 28 minutes, 33 seconds
#219: The best defenders of the last 15 years | Wings
In part 2 of our series, we look at the best wing defenders since 2008. Who was the best at his peak since 2008? How has defensive value changed over that time period? And how do these players compare with the best big men? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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8/10/2023 • 1 hour, 18 minutes, 27 seconds
#218: The best defenders of the last 15 years | Big Men
Who were the best defenders of the last 15 seasons, at their peak? How has defensive value changed over that time period? We start this 3-part series on the best big men since 2008. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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8/3/2023 • 1 hour, 29 minutes, 3 seconds
#217: Making the Wilt Chamberlain documentary
Directors of the new documentary “Goliath,” Christopher Dillon and Rob Ford, join to discuss the making of the film, Wilt the player and person, what they learned and more. GOLIATH is streaming now on Paramount plus with Showtime. Support atwww.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/27/2023 • 1 hour, 8 minutes, 25 seconds
#216: Who will have the best career from the last 3 drafts?
We “superdraft” players from the 2021, 2022 and 2023 NBA draft in a vacuum to guess at their future career value based on what we know so far. Who goes #1? What team has the best potential? And what will this sound like in 5 years? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/20/2023 • 1 hour, 26 minutes, 1 second
#215: How much “luck” is there in basketball?
How much “luck” is involved in an NBA game or playoff series? Is it all about outside shooting? How big of a difference does streaky shooting make, and how should we talk about and think about this relative to “skill” or “quality?” We tackle that with some new data, but first, a few impressions of Summer League, and a white debate about whether the new NBA Cup is a good idea. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/12/2023 • 1 hour, 13 minutes, 21 seconds
#214: The off-season moves
We break down some of the big trades and free agent signings of the off-season so far, while attempting to remember who plays where and the names of players past and present. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/6/2023 • 52 minutes, 40 seconds
#213: Top 10 players of 2023
It's time for the annual top-10 players list, this year in podcast form! We make our way through the best players of the 2023 season, and finish by comparing to a list voted on our by our Patreon subscribers. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/28/2023 • 1 hour, 50 minutes, 46 seconds
#212: 2023 NBA draft with Chip Jones
Our resident draft expert Chip Jones breaks down the 2023 NBA lottery picks, sleepers, and what teams had the best night in a class highlighted by Victor Wembanyama and Scoot Henderson at the top. Follow @ChipJNBA. Support atwww.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/23/2023 • 1 hour, 19 minutes, 35 seconds
#211: Victor Wembanyama & the best prospects ever
Is Victor Wembanyama the best prospect ever? Is it even fair to expect today's prospects to compete with more “certain” rookies from the past? We discuss the history of great prospects, changes in the draft process, value in later draft selections, and also attempt to list the best prospects to ever come into the league. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/21/2023 • 1 hour, 12 minutes, 18 seconds
#210: NBA Finals Game 5
The Nuggets win the title, the Heatiest heat game, Denver's defense, and Nikola Jokic's 2023 season stacked up historically against the greats. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/14/2023 • 46 minutes, 15 seconds
#209: NBA Finals Game 4 | Jokic's defense
We discuss Nikola Jokic's defense, the Nuggets role players and more in our Game 4 breakdown. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/11/2023 • 37 minutes, 59 seconds
#208: NBA Finals Game 3
We break down Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray's historic night, adjustments in the game, Christian Braun's outburt and what the Heat can do to attack Denver's defense. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/9/2023 • 39 minutes, 58 seconds
#207: NBA Finals game 2
We break down Miami's Game 1 win over the Nuggets, starting with Erik Spoelstra big adjustment to go big, another ridiculous shooting game from the Heat, and the idea of turning Nikola Jokic into a scorer. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/6/2023 • 44 minutes, 59 seconds
#206: NBA Finals game 1
We break down Denver's Game 1 win over the Heat, and how they used size and transition to create mismatches. Is there anything Miami can do to stop Jokic and Murray, and what can the Heat build off for Game 2? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball Signup with the code THINKING BASKETBALL at sportsbusinessclassroom.com for $300 off.
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6/2/2023 • 47 minutes, 31 seconds
#205: NBA Finals preview
We recap the wild Eastern Conference Finals and discuss Nuggets-Heat: Will we see the zone? Will Miami go small? Can the Heat generate enough offense? Is Erik Spoelstra the best coach ever? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketballSignup with the code THINKING BASKETBALL at sportsbusinessclassroom.com for $300.
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5/30/2023 • 1 hour, 10 minutes, 51 seconds
#204: Boston's comeback & Best non All-Stars ever
The Celtics have won 2 in a row – what are they doing differently? How worried should Miami be heading home for Game 6? We discuss the impact of 3-point shooting variance in the playoffs, Jamal Murray's playoff performances, and the best players in league history to never make an All-Star team. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/26/2023 • 55 minutes, 52 seconds
#203: Surprise! Miami Thrice and Playoff Murray on the brink
The Heat obliterated the Celtics in Game 3 while the Nuggets took a 3-0 lead over the Lakers. We discuss the incredible Law Firm of Martin, Vincent and Strus, Boston's process issues defending Miami, LeBron James and Nikola Jokic defensively, and Jamal Murray's key scoring explosions for the Nuggets. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/22/2023 • 1 hour, 1 minute, 1 second
#202: How valuable are big men in the playoffs?
A center has won the last 3 MVPs, and they've also dictated a ton of strategical elements in the playoffs this year. But they also get played off the court. So, are centers less valuable than they used to be? We discuss the changing role of centers and how teams attack (and protect) them as a core part of their strategy, but first, a check in on Game 1 in the Eastern and Western Conference Finals. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/18/2023 • 1 hour, 6 minutes, 46 seconds
#201: Bubble redux preview & 20/20 hindsight!
We preview the Conference Finals, but first! A look back at the Celtics-76ers series and the Lakers closing out the Warriors. We also discuss the “certainty” of narratives that will emerge in the next month, despite the parity and current uncertainty around teams, and how that impacts players like Nikola Jokic and Anthony Davis. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/15/2023 • 1 hour, 13 minutes, 5 seconds
#200: All-Playoff teams!
We discuss the conclusion of the wild Conference Semifinals – including actual Eastern Conference discussion – plus we pick our All-playoff first and second teams. What makes Jimmy Butler so good? Where does Devin Booker's play rank? And what is going on with Jokic's plus-minus numbers? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/11/2023 • 1 hour, 10 minutes, 6 seconds
#199: Whose stock is up in the playoffs?
Devin Booker has been on fire over the first 9 games of the playoffs – how sustainable is this hot shooting? We take stock in player's around the league who have moved up (or down) in our minds thus far in the postseason, including a discussion on consistent players versus up-and-down players. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/8/2023 • 1 hour, 4 minutes, 35 seconds
#198: Denver's defense & adaptive coaching in the playoffs
We discuss Denver's great defense Phoenix through 2 games, the role of Big Wings in the playoffs and adaptive coaching in a playoff series. Plus, Warriors-Lakers Game 1 reactions – can Golden State adapt? – Celtics-76ers thoughts, and handing out flowers to Anthony Davis, Joel Embiid, and a ton more. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/4/2023 • 1 hour, 4 minutes, 45 seconds
#197: Warriors-Lakers preview & Bubble Murray is back
We wrap up the incredible Kings-Warriors first round series and look how Golden State and Los Angeles might match up. Plus, Jamal Murray is on fire and the incredible Jimmy Butler 5-on-4 injury situation with Tom Thibodeau and the Knicks. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/1/2023 • 56 minutes, 19 seconds
#196: Nuggets-Suns preview & Heat-Knicks mania!
After maybe the craziest night in the NBA history, we discuss Jimmy Butler's historic series, Miami's incredible upset of the Bucks, the Knicks taking down the Cavs, and preview the Eastern 2nd round along with the Nuggets and Suns series. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/27/2023 • 58 minutes, 29 seconds
#195: Warriors “twin towers” & Cavs+Grizz on the brink
Can you play 2 big men in today's playoffs? Why is scoring down in the playoffs? Before that, we discuss the classic Warriors-Kings Game 4, the Knicks outlasting the Cavs, and if the Grizzlies are on the brink against the Lakers. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/25/2023 • 57 minutes, 21 seconds
#194: Early adjustments, the Kings D & Murray-Ant duel!
We discuss a bunch of early series adjustments and tactics after the first week of the playoffs, the precedent for the Draymond Green suspension, and the incredible Kings defensive approach to start this series. Plus, the Nets fascinating double-team tactics, the Suns-Clippers approach, Jamal Murray and Anthony Edwards duel, and and the “UCLA” Russell Westbrook. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/20/2023 • 58 minutes, 57 seconds
#193: What changed after the first playoff weekend?
What did we learn from an incredible opening playoff weekend? What games changed our minds? We discuss the Warriors-Kings incredible Game 1 and what it means going forward, the Lakers-Grizzlies matchup, the Clippers victory over the Suns and the Knicks-Cavs. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/17/2023 • 1 hour, 2 minutes, 24 seconds
#192: 2023 Playoff Preview
The Athletic's Dave DuFour stops by again for our annual mega playoff preview episode, where canvas the entire NBA, talking Warriors-Kings, the wide open West, a possible Suns-Nuggets series looming, what will change this year tactically in the postseason, and whether Milwaukee or Boston is a looming favorite. Plus, will the offensive boom continue? Sign up at SBC for $300 of with promo code “Thinking Basketball.” Follow Dave @DaveDuFourNBA. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/13/2023 • 1 hour, 31 minutes, 53 seconds
#191: 2023 Defensive awards (The Thinkies)
We pick our 2023 Defensive Award winners in categories ranging from best paint protector to best point of attack defender. Who shows up on the most ballots? And why was this our most evenly distributed year ever? With @codyhoudek. Support atwww.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/10/2023 • 1 hour, 34 minutes, 54 seconds
#190: Stan Van Gundy on playoff game-planning & stopping great offense
Coach Stan Van Gundy discusses game-planning for a playoff series, what the strategy was against LeBron James in 2009, facing off against Kobe Bryant's Lakers and more. We also discuss the progression of great offense, and slowing down the hyper-skilled offensive players in today's game. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/5/2023 • 1 hour, 23 minutes, 21 seconds
#189: The importance of Motor & Misleading stats
What is “motor?” How important is it for players like Jarred Vanderbilt and Dennis Rodman? Can it be improved? Before we tackle those questions, we contextualizing a few “misleading” stats making the rounds, from defensive metrics to free throw differentials. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/3/2023 • 1 hour, 10 minutes, 39 seconds
#188: Top-10 backcourts in the NBA
Who has the best backcourt in the NBA right now? We think about building teams around current “guards,” attacking their weaknesses, offensive and defensive fit, depth, and more. But first, are you allowed to have arms on defense? Twitter thoughts on the rip through and offensive fouls. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/29/2023 • 1 hour, 22 minutes, 11 seconds
#187: Evaluating NBA Coaches (Coach of the Year)
What makes a good coach? How can we evaluate NBA coaches? We tackle this and look at the historical patterns of Coach of the Year to gain some insight into how voters and fans (predictably) credit coaches. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/24/2023 • 1 hour, 6 minutes, 25 seconds
#186: Mismatch hunting & hiding defenders in the playoffs
We discuss the latest tactics for “hunting” or “targeting” weaker defenders, and how teams are protecting these defenders, especially in the playoffs. How has this tactical arms race evolved recently? And what weaknesses or ramifications do the latest ideas like “peel” switching or “nexting” have going forward? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/20/2023 • 1 hour, 7 minutes, 25 seconds
#185: Are we seeing the best scoring seasons in NBA history?
More players than ever are averaging 30-points per game. Where do the current scoring seasons rank historically? And how do we compare scoring across different periods with all the changes we've seen to offenses lately? We compare Embiid, Giannis, Jokic, Durant to Michael Jordan, Kobe Bryant, James Harden, a scoring model and more. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/15/2023 • 1 hour, 3 minutes, 45 seconds
#184: Winning with defense in the playoffs
We discuss how the incredible offensive explosion changes defense in the playoffs, and what to expect from top defensive teams heading into the playoffs. From the Bucks twin towers, to the possible weaknesses of teams like Phoenix and Dallas, to the rangy forwards on the Cavs and Lakers, what teams are built to guard the new actions in the league this year? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/12/2023 • 1 hour, 3 minutes, 58 seconds
#183: The parity in the West; Is Dame top-5 in offense?
Are the Kings dangerous or pretenders? Are the Lakers a sleeper? We discuss the weaknesses and vulnerabilities of the top-9 Western Conference teams, focusing on the Kings pace, the Lakers defense (and health) and more. Plus, where does Damian Lillard rank among the best offensive players in 2023? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/8/2023 • 1 hour, 2 minutes, 14 seconds
#182: Embiid-Giannis & the MVP “conversation”
Why are so many MVP “debates” about tearing down one player? We dive into the historical criteria of the MVP, the shift in the conversation these days, and more. Plus first, a Quickley apology, Harden's big game, and the Embiid-Giannis (Lopez) battle after the Bucks impressive win streak. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/5/2023 • 56 minutes, 38 seconds
#181: The best bench players in 2023
Who are the best bench players in the league right now? Why do certain types of players seem to start versus coming off the bench? Should limited scorers be in the running for Sixth Man of the Year? And what player is like garlic? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/3/2023 • 1 hour, 1 minute, 23 seconds
#180: Defenses need help | A 351 point game!
The Kings and Clippers scored an incredible 351 points over the weekend, Damian Lillard scored 71, and offenses continue to explode league-wide. We discuss this, and what can be done – what should be done? – to help defenses moving forward as offenses get better and better. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/27/2023 • 52 minutes, 15 seconds
#179: The “new” James Harden | Re-evaluating players
James Harden missed the All-Star game for the first time in a decade, but that actually has us wondering if this year makes his career look better. We discuss Harden's fit with Embiid, stylistic changes, challenging seasons from Rudy Gobert, Trae Young, and the art of re-evaluating players with new – and sometime competing – information. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/24/2023 • 1 hour, 10 minutes, 20 seconds
#178: The best Age 21 and younger seasons in NBA history
Who was the best 18-year old in league history? The best 20-year old? When do players become MVP-level players? In this episode, we discuss Luka Doncic, LeBron James, Kobe Bryant, Tracy McGrady and a number of other great young players in their earliest seasons. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/20/2023 • 1 hour, 18 minutes, 3 seconds
#177: The evolution of 3-and-D players
Today's 3-and-D players are doing more than just spot-up and shoot on offense – we discuss the expanded skills that have added an extra dimension to these role players, the history of 3-and-D, and more. Also, first impressions of 2023 top-pick Victor Wembanyama. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/16/2023 • 58 minutes, 17 seconds
#176: Overvaluing 1st round picks & The best cutters, screeners, dunkers and more...
Who are the best players at the “other” skills? We discuss under-represented skills like cutting, screening and more, nominating some of the NBA's best in each category. But first, we revisit the Suns-Nets trade through the lens of first-round pick value, looking at the historical data on trades involving big names in exchange for multiple first round picks. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/12/2023 • 1 hour, 14 minutes, 52 seconds
#175: Post deadline power rankings
Who are the inner circle title contenders after the trade deadline? Are the Suns the new favorite in the West? We break down the primary and fringe title contenders in a wide open league, along with Kevin Durant's trade – how many players this good have been traded in the middle of a season before? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/9/2023 • 1 hour, 6 minutes, 27 seconds
#174 2023 Sub All-Stars
We select the 5th annual Thinking Basketball “Sub” All-Stars – those players in the next tier below All-Stars (the “Almost Stars”) who don't quite make the cut. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/6/2023 • 1 hour, 23 minutes, 16 seconds
#173: Peak Harden vs. Luka & Brunson-Grimes
Is Luka Doncic's ball-dominance more similar to peak James Harden or LeBron James? Where is he as an all-time offensive player right now? Before that, we discuss his old teammate Jalen Brunson in New York, and his backcourt mate Quentin Grimes. And first, Big Jelly Naz Reid. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/3/2023 • 51 minutes, 5 seconds
#172: Is LeBron having the best 38-year old season ever?
Who had the best “old” seasons in league history? We compare LeBron's incredible 37 and 38-year old seasons with the best in history while looking ahead to future seasons for him and Kevin Durant. Also, the insanity of Jaren Jackson's statgate and conspiracies. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/31/2023 • 1 hour, 28 seconds
#171: Has the league overtaken the Warriors?
Golden State has hovered around .500 all season while battling a few injuries. Do they have a big run coming? Or has their competitive advantage over the league shrunk this season? We discuss the changing league dynamics, Klay Thompson's role on offense, the Warriors defense this season and where that leaves them among the NBA's best. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/25/2023 • 1 hour, 7 seconds
#170: Development in the modern game & All-Star minutes
Offenses seem to have a strategic edge of defenses in today's game, so what does this mean for development? Are there differences between International styles of development and the US pipeline? Also, should minutes played be a major determiner when selecting All-Stars? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/22/2023 • 54 minutes, 29 seconds
#169: The Heliocentric rankings
What happens when players are the only stars on the court? In this episode, we attempt to sort out the best “lone stars” or heavy-lifters who can carry offenses by themselves when other capable offensive focal points head to the bench. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/19/2023 • 1 hour, 23 minutes, 16 seconds
#168: Are the Clippers still built for the playoffs? (And All-defense is crowded!)
The Clippers 5-out offense filled with flexible, switching defenders and strong outside shooters took them to the Conference Finals in 2021. But do they still have that competitive advantage in the playoffs? We also discuss Nic Claxton and his case for an All-defensive team, along with the effect of the “Take Foul” on offensive efficiency this season. With @codyhoudek. Support atwww.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/12/2023 • 56 minutes, 50 seconds
#167: The problem with one-dimensional scorers
Rookies and sophomores with big scoring numbers create a lot of hype, but sometimes can't even stay in the league! (Brandon Jennings was “the next Iverson!”) We discuss the steep slope of one-dimensional scoring among young prospects, and why role players who contribute in other areas are often much more valuable than these “Fool's Gold” scorers. With @codyhoudek. Support atwww.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/8/2023 • 1 hour, 36 seconds
#166: The title contenders
We discuss the Nets improved defense and the seriousness of the Grizzlies, along with the handful of teams who we think could win the East and the West among an incredible amount of parity. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/5/2023 • 59 minutes, 56 seconds
#165: Jokic is the offensive GOAT vs. Jokic's defensive problem
Is Nikola Jokic having the best offensive season in regular season history? And can the Nuggets defense stop teams in the playoffs with Jokic playing heavy minutes? We discuss the duality of Jokic's transcendent offense and his weaknesses on defense in today's NBA. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/31/2022 • 1 hour, 4 minutes, 3 seconds
#164: The best shooters ever
Who are the best shooters in NBA history? (Or really, of the 3-point era?) We discuss the concept of outside shooting skill and use a model to estimate shooting outside of 15 feet going back to 1980, comparing volume and accuracy relative to league norms to help sort out the greatest outside shooters in league history. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/23/2022 • 1 hour, 25 minutes, 39 seconds
#163: Why are offenses so good right now?!
We discuss some of the reasons why we are seeing record-setting offensive efficiency around the league this season. Why have we seen an increase in movement and screening? And does the right player need to come along to create a paradigm shift? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/20/2022 • 53 minutes, 56 seconds
#162: What defensive stats actually tell us | Anthony Davis & New Orleans
We start with the Pelicans surprising defense and Anthony Davis's resurgence in Los Angeles, and segue into a bigger conversation about how to judge players defensively: What metrics are reliable, and which ones are misleading? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/14/2022 • 45 minutes, 59 seconds
#161: Top 25 under 25 Draft
We attempt to draft the 25 best players under 25 this year, based on how good they are right now. There are surprises, twists and turns, and utter agony throughout. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/5/2022 • 1 hour, 25 minutes, 9 seconds
#160: Developing on good vs. bad teams
Is it better for young players to play on bad teams with lots of opportunity and experimentation, or good teams with less opportunity where different skills earn paying time? We also react to the Wolves defensive experiment with Karl-Anthony Towns out injured, along with Cody's theory of rim protection. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/1/2022 • 52 minutes, 34 seconds
#159: The Kings are good (!) & Point Guard defense
Should Nikola Jokic shoot more? Is point guard defense more valuable than ever? And are the Kings legit? In this episode we break down Sacramento's start, and whether their 2nd-rank offense is smoke and mirrors, or if De'Aaron Fox, Kevin Huerter and Domantas Sabonis can keep this up for the entire season. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/25/2022 • 58 minutes, 23 seconds
#158: Luka and Trae | Different versions of heliocentrism
Dallas is using Luka Doncic in creative ways, his skills continue to expand, and that expansion creates diversity in the offense (and lineup construction) for the Mavs. By comparison, the Hawks are using a different approach with Trae Young and Dejounte Murray, and some of the growing pains they've had early in the season. Plus, Cody's favorite thanksgiving dish. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/18/2022 • 48 minutes, 36 seconds
#157: Whose record can't we trust?
We look some teams with .500 records or worse that are actually playing better than record and the most notable team above .500 that really looks like their struggling. (Note: We forgot to mention the 6-7 Bulls who are playing better than their record.) Also, is Tyrese Haliburton the best player from the 2020 draft? And is Father Time finally catching up with LeBron James? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/13/2022 • 46 minutes, 40 seconds
#156: How the game has changed | Mike Prada on “Spaced Out”
Mike Prada from the Athletic discusses his new book “Spaced Out” about the NBA's 3-point revolution. We discuss some major themes of the book that define 2023 (and perhaps future) basketball, including the shift from an individual focus to a collective focus, why we're in a Golden Age of Passing, “positionless basketball,” the tactical arms race of innovation and more. Follow Mike @MikePradaNBA. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/7/2022 • 1 hour, 8 minutes, 44 seconds
#155: Who is actually good? Confused Power Rankings
We attempt to make sense of the first few weeks of the season by sorting teams into tiers based on what we've learned. This fails miserably, as Ben constantly changes where he places teams and ends up more confused by the league than before the season started. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/2/2022 • 1 hour, 4 minutes, 18 seconds
#154: Mike D'Antoni on the evolution of offense
Coach Mike D'Antoni stops by to discuss the origins of Pace and Space, the offensive revolution that has changed NBA strategy in the last decade. We discuss his influences in Italy and the ABA, his time in Phoenix with Steve Nash, the Rockets with James Harden and Chris Paul, and more. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/28/2022 • 1 hour, 3 minutes, 25 seconds
#153: It's Rudy's Fault, the winless 76ers, and early season experimentation
Rudy Gobert has changed teams, but he's still being blamed for Minnesota's losses 5 days into the new season. Should we be worried about the 0-3 76ers? Plus, we discuss the value of early season experimentation for teams and players. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/23/2022 • 47 minutes, 3 seconds
#152 2023 Season preview with Dave DuFour
The Athletic's Dave DuFour returns to preview the 2023 NBA season, filled with wild hot takes, movie arguments, and the Victor Wembanyama Power Rankings. We discuss who we think can win the East and the West, the fascinating circumstances in Minnesota and Cleveland, and how Paolo Banchero breaks physics, Grant Williams breaks shoes and Kawhi Leonard's 40-yard dash time. Follow him @DaveDuFourNBA. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/18/2022 • 1 hour, 22 minutes, 38 seconds
#151: Top 40 careers | The GOAT candidates
In the series finale, we discuss the best on-court careers in NBA history from four different eras: Bill Russell, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Michael Jordan and LeBron James. We also include the best 8-year primes. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/14/2022 • 1 hour, 37 minutes, 25 seconds
#150: Top 40 careers | Allen Iverson, Dominique Wilkins, and the missing names
Why are big names like Allen Iverson and Carmelo Anthony missing from our top-40 career countdown? How far away were players like Dominique from making the list? Did their style of volume scoring limit their offensive value? And how much do defensive limitations hurt inefficient volume scorers if they aren't great playmakers? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/11/2022 • 1 hour, 26 minutes, 8 seconds
#149: Top 40 careers | The complexity of Wilt Chamberlain (and Kevin Garnett & Tim Duncan)
In Episode 9 of our top-40 careers series we discuss the unique and complex career of Wilt Chamberlain, from his scoring exploits to his late-career success as a passer and defender. How confident can we be evaluating Wilt? And what should we make of the “dips” and statistical oddities in the middle of Duncan's career and Garnett's career? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/7/2022 • 1 hour, 16 minutes, 15 seconds
#148: Top 40 careers | Magic Johnson, Larry Bird (and Kobe & Dirk)
In Episode 8 of our top-40 careers series, we compare the offensive and defensive styles of Magic Johnson and Larry Bird and discuss the unique symmetries of their careers. But first, we start with Dirk Nowitzki and Karl Malone -- how impressive is Karl's longevity? And what are the tradeoffs of building around Dirk's defense as a 7-footer? Finally, who in this group moved up or down? And who will crack the top-10? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/4/2022 • 1 hour, 14 minutes, 57 seconds
#147: Top 40 careers | The first offensive GOAT (Jerry West and Oscar Robertson)
Was Jerry West actually the best player of the 1960s? In episode 7 of the top-40 career series, we discuss West's extraordinary scoring achievements, the Lakers offensive “dynasty” with him, and how he exploded in the playoffs while Oscar tended to go in the other direction. We also debate the value of Robertson's playmaking without a 3-point line, and how much per possession value these superstars of the 1960s generated compared to current players. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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9/30/2022 • 1 hour, 28 minutes, 16 seconds
#146: Top 40 careers | Steph Curry and Chris Paul
In episode 6 of the top-40 career series, we make the case for Chris Paul as one of the most underrated players in NBA history – has he had the worst “playoff luck” of any modern player? How great was he in the postseason? And what do we make of his defense? Also, how far has Steph Curry moved up the list? How much does he decline in the playoffs? And are his individual and team numbers underwhelming, or actually really impressive in the postseason? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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9/27/2022 • 1 hour, 13 minutes, 10 seconds
#145: Top 40 careers | Kevin Durant and Julius Erving
In episode 5 of the top-40 career series, we try to make sense of just how good Julius Erving's peak was, and why he looked so much better in the ABA compared to the NBA. We also discuss Kevin Durant's all-time, flexible scoring, his weaknesses as a primary option and strengths blending with other talent. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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9/23/2022 • 1 hour, 22 minutes, 4 seconds
#144: Top 40 careers | Steve Nash and John Stockton
In episode 4 of the top-40 career series, we explore the differences and similarities between John Stockton and Steve Nash. What part of Stockton's career is Ben more impressed by lately? Where does Nash separate himself on offense? How many great season did both have and how did they evolve over the course of their careers? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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9/20/2022 • 1 hour, 20 minutes, 53 seconds
#143: Top 40 careers | James Harden and Reggie Miller
In episode 3 of the top-40 career series, we discuss the different offensive styles of James Harden and Reggie Miller, the (surprising) success of their respective teams in the playoffs, and how they stack up as scorers and all-time offensive players. Plus, why did Jason Kidd never play on a good offense? NB: The playoff “net rating” cited in this series is not a raw net rating, but instead is adjusted for opponent quality based on the opponent's regular season net rating. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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In episode 2 of the top-40 career series, we take a long look at Isiah Thomas. Why is Thomas often viewed as one of the 3 or 4 best point guards in NBA history? How responsible was he for the success of the Detroit Bad Boys? And why has he moved up on this update? We also discuss Clyde Drexler Elgin Baylor and debate whether there are generally too many 1960s stars near the top of traditional NBA GOAT lists. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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9/13/2022 • 1 hour, 6 minutes, 57 seconds
#141: Top-40 careers | Do Giannis and Kawhi make the list?
In episode 1 of our top-40 career update, we look at the modern players who may or may not have cracked the top-40 list in the 5 seasons since the original “Backpicks GOAT” project. Will Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kawhi Leonard make it? Are there any other newcomers? And what other criteria and key ideas are we going to focus on as we update the 40 best on-court careers in NBA history. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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9/9/2022 • 49 minutes, 39 seconds
#140: Are officiating changes hurting the game?
In a follow-up to a recent video on the evolution of NBA rules, we discuss whether changes in officiating can “hurt” the health and popularity of the league. How should players and coaches react based on the continuous changes in the way the game is called? And what should the league, if anything, do about foul-baiting and other controversial elements of the rules? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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9/2/2022 • 39 minutes, 9 seconds
#139 Eastern Conference Finals MVPs since 2000, Part 2
In the final installment of our series on retro Conference Finals MVPs, we hand out the award in the East from 2011-2021. Again, we asked the Thinking Basketball discord community to vote for a broader perspective. How many will LeBron James win? Who will end up with the most Conference Finals MVPs? And what kind of season does it take to claim all 3 main MVP trophies? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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8/26/2022 • 1 hour, 37 minutes, 23 seconds
#138: Eastern Conference Finals MVPs since 2000, Part 1
After finishing the West, we hand out Eastern Conference Finals MVPs awards starting in the Year 2000. Again, we asked the Thinking Basketball discord community to vote for a broader perspective. Who will end up with the most Larry Bird trophies? Where will we get stuck? With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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8/19/2022 • 1 hour, 17 minutes, 57 seconds
#137: Western Conference Finals MVPs since 2000, Part 2
In Part 2 of a mega podcast, we go back and select Conference Finals MVPs (Magic Johnson and Larry Bird trophy) before the award was officially handed out in 2022, covering 2011-2021. We asked the Thinking Basketball community to vote as well for a broader perspective. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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8/12/2022 • 1 hour, 14 minutes, 51 seconds
#136: Western Conference Finals MVPs since 2000, Part 1
In Part 1 of a mega podcast, we go back and select Conference Finals MVPs (Magic Johnson and Larry Bird trophy) before the award was officially handed out in 2022. We asked the Thinking Basketball community to vote as well for a broader perspective. With @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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8/5/2022 • 1 hour, 2 minutes, 22 seconds
#135 Basketball Athleticism with Eric Leidersdorf & Evan Zaucha
What is “athleticism” in basketball? Is it merely quickness and a big vertical leap? Eric Leidersdorf, the Director of biomechanics at P3, and neuroscientist Evan Zaucha from SIS join to present and discuss a comprehensive model of athleticism in basketball, from the not-so-obvious physical traits that help players succeed, to the mental side of the game. Model available on www.backpicks.com. Follow them at @EZ_Hoops and @leidersdorf. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/29/2022 • 1 hour, 43 minutes
#134: Developing better decision-makers with Daniel Peterson
What makes someone a good decision-maker? A good playmaker? Why is this so important in basketball (and other sports)? Daniel Peterson, co-author of “The Playmaker's Advantage” and “The Playmaker's Decisions” discusses the cognitive research on “playmakers” and their training, development, and the decision-making involved in basketball and sports in general. With @DanielPeterson. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/22/2022 • 1 hour, 6 minutes, 8 seconds
#133: The Gobert Experiment & other off-season moves
We discuss the pros and cons of the Rudy Gobert trade to Minnesota – how competitive will the Timberwolves be in a stacked Western Conference? – along with DeJounte Murray to the Hawks, Macolm Brogdon to the Celtics and Christian Wood to the Mavs. WOTD: Actualized and juice. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/15/2022 • 51 minutes, 37 seconds
#132: Modern Coaching & Development with Chris Oliver
Former University of Windsor Coach Chris Oliver and founder of Basketball Immersion discusses player development, the evolution of tactics from lower levels and evaluating modern coaches. NB: This episode was recorded before the 2022 season. Follow Chris at @BballImmersion Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/9/2022 • 1 hour, 1 minute, 18 seconds
#131: Re-doing the Finals MVPs since 2001
Who was robbed of Finals MVP? Using series-specific data, I go back over the Finals series since 2001 and try to outline the strongest statistical cases for the best player in each championship series, including the Finals MVPs I would change if I had a retroactive vote. NB: This episode was recorded before the 2022 Finals, and Steph Curry would still be the choice based on the structure of this episode. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/1/2022 • 38 minutes, 42 seconds
#130: 2022 NBA Draft with Chip Jones
Thinking Basketball's draft guru Chip Jones breaks down nearly every first round pick (and a few sleepers in the second round) as we take a broad sweep of the incoming NBA rookies and what to expect from them moving forward. Follow Chip @ChipJNBA. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/25/2022 • 1 hour, 32 minutes, 46 seconds
#129: Closing the season with a strong series (versus a weak one) | NBA Finals recap
We recap the key factors and players in the 2022 NBA Finals (Steph Curry, Draymond Green and Jayson Tatum) and compare a great individual series versus players who struggle to finish the season. Also, are we watching Curry's peak? With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/21/2022 • 55 minutes, 43 seconds
#128: Boston's Switch-hunting vs. Golden State's flow | NBA Finals Game 5
We contrast the offensive philosophies so far in the series, with the Celtics focused heavily on mismatch hunting compared to the Warriors flexible read-and-react offense. We also discuss Curry's “bad” game, Rob Williams's impact and the narrative around Draymond Green's “poor” play in the series. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/15/2022 • 52 minutes, 46 seconds
#127: Should the Celtics guard Curry differently? | NBA Finals Game 4
We discuss Steph Curry's great Game 4, how Boston is defending him, and whether they should play Curry differently. Plus the Celtics offensive stagnation, Jayson Tatum's rim finishing and midrange along with Jaylen Brown's tough-shot making. Signup with the code THINKING BASKETBALL at sportsbusinessclassroom.com for $300. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/12/2022 • 51 minutes, 12 seconds
#126: The Adjustment Equilibrium | NBA Finals Game 3
Solo episode breaking down Game 3 of the 2022 NBA Finals in detail, focusing on Boston's adjustments on both ends and the counter-attacking dynamics of the series, especially involving Steph Curry, Draymond Green and Rob Williams. Also, do players need at least a game to adapt to new adjustments? Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/10/2022 • 34 minutes, 48 seconds
#125: Curry's growth & Boston's offensive struggles | NBA Finals Game 2
We break down Game 2 of the 2022 NBA Finals in detail, discussing Golden State's success in Steph Curry pick-and-roll these first two games, the return of Gary Payton II, Rob Williams in pick-and-roll and the state of Boston's offense. Signup with the code THINKING BASKETBALL at sportsbusinessclassroom.com for $300. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/7/2022 • 47 minutes, 38 seconds
#124: NBA Finals Game 1 deep dive!
We break down Game 1 of the 2022 NBA Finals in detail, noting some wins and losses on both sides of the ball for each team and asking some key questions about the Warriors lineups going forward. Signup with the code THINKING BASKETBALL at sportsbusinessclassroom.com for $300. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/5/2022 • 45 minutes, 51 seconds
#123: Steph's legacy & Finals preview w/ J. Kyle Mann & Dave DuFour
The Ringer's J. Kyle Mann and the Athletic's Dave DuFour join for a 3-man preview of the 2022 NBA Finals between the Celtics and the Warriors. Plus a conversation about Steph Curry's legacy and how the perception of the Warriors dynasty. Follow Dave @DaveDuFourNBA and Kyle @jkylemann. Signup with the code THINKING BASKETBALL at sportsbusinessclassroom.com for $300. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/31/2022 • 1 hour, 21 minutes, 59 seconds
#122: Conference Finals MVPs (Evaluating players in a single series)
How should we evaluate players in a small sample like the Conference Finals? Should primary creators always be seen as more valuable than finishers. We discuss Kevon Looney and Al Horford versus the Steph Curry's and Joel Embiid's of the world, along with rebounding numbers and the slog of the Eastern Conference Finals between the Heat and Celtics. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/27/2022 • 54 minutes, 14 seconds
#121: Why are there so many playoff blowouts this year?
It seems like there are huge leads and blowouts every night in the 2022 playoffs – what's going on? We discuss the big quarters from the Heat, the Warriors comeback over the Mavs in Game 2, and whether there are indeed more blowouts in the 2022 playoffs than in prior seasons. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/22/2022 • 48 minutes, 23 seconds
#120: Dominant help defense! | Conference Finals Game 1 recap
We break down the opening games of the Conference Finals, fawning over the help defense from the Heat and the Warriors in their home victories. Major takeaways, early tactical wins for teams in the series, and expectations moving forward. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/19/2022 • 41 minutes, 5 seconds
#119: Kidd out-coaches Monty & the Playoff MVP
We look ahead to the Conference Finals, but first looking back to the Mavs and Celtics victories, Phoenix's inability to adjust to Dallas's counters, the importance of having multiple creators on the floor in the playoffs against these defensive tactics, and the Playoff MVP of the first 2 rounds. Signup with the code THINKING BASKETBALL at sportsbusinessclassroom.com for $300. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/17/2022 • 56 minutes, 9 seconds
#118: Big men are under attack!
Larry Coon of Sports Business Classroom stops by, but first, we discuss Giannis Antetokounmpo's floor-raising, Jrue Holiday's amazing game-saving play, and the continuing trend of slower big men being attacked in space by small ball lineups. How many defenders are safe? Signup with the code THINKING BASKETBALL at sportsbusinessclassroom.com for $300. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/12/2022 • 1 hour, 3 minutes, 37 seconds
#117: A rock and a hard place | Offensive vs. defensive weaknesses
We go deep on the chaotic and controversial Game 3 between the Celtics and Bucks, compare the defensive battles of the Eastern Conference with the offensive explosions in the West, and also discuss the power of DeAndre Ayton, and whether it's better to have no weaknesses on offense or defense. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/8/2022 • 51 minutes, 14 seconds
#116: Howard Beck on Award voting and the Playoffs
Sports Illustrated's Howard Beck joins to discuss Gary Payton II, the original Gary Payton, Marcus Smart's DPOY, asymmetries in offensive/defensive awards, and the nature of awards voting itself. Follow @HowardBeck and support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/4/2022 • 52 minutes, 24 seconds
#115: What can we learn from Round One?
How much stock should we put in one good or bad series from the first round? Should we ignore the regular season or fall back on it? We reflect on some of the dominant defensive performances of the first round and look ahead to round 2. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/1/2022 • 49 minutes, 10 seconds
#114: What changes in the playoffs? | Gibson Pyper (Half Court Hoops)
More changes from the regular season to the playoffs than ever before. Coach Gibson Pyper of Half Court Hoops joins to discuss what makes postseason basketball different from regular season basketball in the 2020s, and what that means for star players like Kevin Durant and Trae Young, 3-point shooting, slower big men (Jokic and Gobert), scheme versatility and more. Follow Gibson @HalfCourtHoops. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/28/2022 • 53 minutes, 17 seconds
#113: Negative narratives & Hater's Bingo
After only 1 week of the playoffs, many stars are under fire and many narratives have momentum. We discuss how no one is safe, and whether all the criticisms of Rudy Gobert, Nikola Jokic, Kevin Durant and more are fair. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/24/2022 • 52 minutes, 25 seconds
#112: The best opening game ever! | Playoff talk
We go deep on the epic Celtics-Nets opener in the East: Tatum's great game, what caused Durant's struggles and more. Plus other thoughts on officiating, physicality, rim pressure and more. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/18/2022 • 51 minutes, 28 seconds
#111: 2022 Playoff Preview
The Athletic's Dave DuFour stops by for our annual preview show, where we size up the contenders in the East and the West, including a stunning first round upset pick by Dave in the Eastern Conference. Follow Dave @DaveDuFourNBA. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/12/2022 • 1 hour, 3 minutes, 29 seconds
#110: The one true MVP! (Awards fallacies & existentialism)
Who is the MVP in 2022? Are we prioritizing the right players? Can we even answer this question without defining it clearly? We discuss the concept of awards ballots, the idea of ambiguous definitions, the purpose of awards and the difference between philosophical variety, fallacious arguments and non-contextual data points (Stats Police!) With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/8/2022 • 55 minutes, 46 seconds
#109: 2022 Defensive Awards!
It's time for the second ever defensive awards, where we discuss the best defenders in a variety of categories ranging from the best paint protector to the best point of attack defender to “who is the most switchable defender in the league?” With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/4/2022 • 1 hour, 2 minutes, 30 seconds
#108: Top-10 offensive players of 2022
We tackle the exciting, difficult, painful task of sorting out the best offensive players in the league this season, including the incredible big men in the league right now and their different approaches, the value of playmaking, spacing and non-scoring effects, and the handful of players with really wide, uncertain ranges of impact heading into the 2022 playoffs. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/28/2022 • 1 hour, 2 minutes, 8 seconds
#107: How good is the Bucks offense?
We discuss Jrue Holiday's great offensive season, the synergy between Giannis, Khris Middelton and Holiday, and the success of the Bucks Big 3 on offense this season. Also, why does it feel like there's no defense played in today's NBA? Would Giannis fail in a prior era? And who is the ideal teammate for LeBron James? With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/22/2022 • 45 minutes, 17 seconds
#106: J. Kyle Mann on new player archetypes
The Ringer's J. Kyle Mann (the Dime Drop) joins to discuss how prospects can blow through their projected ceilings by playing in a unique, different way, and what that means for players like Darius Garland, Cade Cunningham, Chet Holmgren and more. Follow Kyle @jkylemann. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/18/2022 • 1 hour, 1 minute, 32 seconds
#105: Making sense of the league by Bamming on the contenders
We attempt to stack up the title favorites, but first, an old LeBron tweet reminds us how quickly narratives flip on elite players.Then we try to make sense of the parity, injuries and incredible offensive explosion (and state of foul drawing), along with some Bam Bam moments. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Supportat www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/14/2022 • 52 minutes, 57 seconds
#104: Mega penetrators & Helio brain (Mitchell vs. Morant)
Is Donovan Mitchell one of the best offensive players in the game today? How does he compare to someone like Ja Morant? We discuss some of the game's best penetrators (2011 Derrick Rose) and the potential issue with the “heliocentric” boxes so many guards are put into today. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Supportat www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/6/2022 • 50 minutes, 40 seconds
#103: The most valuable 3-point shooters in the league
It seems like an obvious question, but how do we define great shooters? How do we measure them? And who are the best shooters in the NBA right now? We look at two different ways to view shooting and a bunch of data on the best 3-point shooters in the league today. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. There is a full list of the top shooters (by tier) and the data for this episode for subscribers at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/28/2022 • 1 hour, 5 minutes, 19 seconds
#102: The Celtics new defense, Gobert for MVP & Jokic's all-time place
We discuss the white hot Celtics and Ime Udoka's tactical decision to unleash Rob Williams on defense, Rudy Gobert's consistent absence from MVP discussions, and Nikola Jokic's offensive ranking among the all-time greats. Also some trade deadline housekeeping with the Porzingis and Haliburton deals and the Bucks depth. www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/21/2022 • 55 minutes, 26 seconds
#101: The Evolution of Pace and Space | Mika Prada
Mike Prada (formerly at SBNation) stop by to discuss the evolution of the “Pace and Space” era, the tactical chess match in the 1998 NBA Finals, playing fast in the 1940s and how we landed on today's switchable, helping schemes to combat the pick-and-roll. Follow Mike at @MikePradaNBA. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/17/2022 • 59 minutes, 7 seconds
#100: Harden, Simmons & the East power rankings
We react to the Harden-Simmons blockbuster trade, the Celtics moves and what it all means for the upcoming Eastern Conference playoffs. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/11/2022 • 44 minutes, 14 seconds
#99: 2022 Sub-All Stars
It's that time of year to honor the best players who aren't quite All-Stars. I lay out my All-Star caliber players in the league right now, and then the 4th annual sub All-Star team. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/9/2022 • 1 hour, 28 minutes, 54 seconds
#98: Top-10 Point Guards in 2022!
We make a feeble attempt to sort out the best point guards in the NBA this season. Somehow, grilled pineapple and chocolate souffle are discussed as well. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/31/2022 • 1 hour, 27 minutes, 33 seconds
#97: Diversity & Experimentation in today's league with Seerat Sohi
The Ringer's Seerat Sohi joins to discuss the exciting season so far, including all of the diversity and experimentation of styles around the league, and what to make of the Phoenix Suns and their league-leading record. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/28/2022 • 54 minutes, 17 seconds
#96: Embiid's scoring & Curry, Klay slumping
We discuss the incredible scoring tear Joel Embiid is on, what makes his scoring so special, and where he ranks as a scorer this year. After that we attempt to discuss Steph Curry's value during his 2 month shooting slump, along with Klay Thompson's chucking. Also thoughts on the Hawks leaky defense and Grayson Allen's foul on Alex Caruso. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/23/2022 • 51 minutes, 54 seconds
#95: Hot Mavs & Matisse's value
We discuss Jalen Brunson and the rising Dallas Mavericks, who have won 7 of 8 games and are surprising with their defense. We also debate the value of perimeter playmakers like Matisse Thybulle, how we measure them, and how they compare to big men on defense. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/17/2022 • 40 minutes, 24 seconds
#94: The “Healthy” team standings
Who are the best teams in the league when “healthy” right now? With everyone missing time, we stack up the best performances of teams when their core pieces are on the floor, and discuss whether Kyrie's return can cure the issues with the surprisingly low Nets. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/11/2022 • 54 minutes, 53 seconds
#93: Draymond's value & the rise of the Grizzlies
Debating Draymond's offensive value and whether limited scoring puts a hard ceiling on offense for players. Also the state of the top contenders, the rise of the Grizzlies and what to make of Ja Morant's 12 injured games. With Cody Houdek @codyhoudek. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/4/2022 • 50 minutes, 27 seconds
#92: The best players in the NBA | Nate Duncan
Nate Duncan discusses the best players in the NBA right now, culminating with the big question about Nikola Jokic! We also discuss Curry, Giannis, Durant, and whether Anthony Davis still belongs in the conversation. Listen to @NateDuncanNBA on the Dunc'd On podcast, Hollinger & Duncan, and the NBA cast on League Pass digital (next game Monday, November 22 between Memphis and Utah). Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/21/2021 • 1 hour, 17 minutes, 34 seconds
Podcast #91: How teammates change your stats | WOWY interactions
This is a companion episode to the video on stars affecting each other: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k3iJwi4btAI&t=16s In this episode, we look at some of the most important recent examples of the effects stars have on each other, the importance about this kind of research and more. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/13/2021 • 41 minutes, 57 seconds
#90: The 75th anniversary team Part 2
In Part 2 of a mega 2-part episode, reactions to the official NBA at 75 list. Then I attempt the hopeless task of filling out a 75th anniversary ballot with the help of Cody Houdek. It's unclear whether we even selected 75 or 76 players at the end of this hopeless and slightly impossible endeavor. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and access the full list there.
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10/22/2021 • 2 hours, 10 minutes, 40 seconds
#89: 2022 Season preview with Dave DuFour
The Athletic's Dave DuFour joins to preview the 2022 NBA season! We discuss who can win the East and West, teams with wide-ranging outcomes, darkhorse MVPs and more. Of course, there's a post show. Follow him @DaveDuFourNBA. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/17/2021 • 1 hour, 21 minutes, 40 seconds
#88: The 75th anniversary team Part 1
In Part 1 of a mega 2-part episode, I attempt to predict the upcoming NBA at 75 team with some help from Cody Houdek. Who is a lock to make the list, and what players are candidates for those new 25 spots? Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball.
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9/24/2021 • 1 hour, 43 minutes, 22 seconds
#87: Draft grades & Black swans with J. Kyle Mann
The Ringer's J. Kyle Mann joins me for a wild discussion on player development and grading draft picks. We revisit 2016's top 10 picks, discuss the idea of the Black Swan fallacy in player development, the inverted black swan, developing ball skills in infants and more! Get $200 off Sports Business classroom with the promo code Thinking Basketball at www.sportsbusiness.classroom.com for this year's session in Las Vegas (August 9-14). Support directly at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball.
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7/30/2021 • 1 hour, 25 minutes, 55 seconds
#86: How good was Giannis? Full 2021 Finals analysis
Where does Giannis Antetokounmpo's Finals performance rank among recent history? Before answering that question, I recap the key strategies, players, twists and turns that jumped out to me over the course of the 2021 Finals. Get $200 off Sports Business classroom with the promo code Thinking Basketball at www.sportsbusiness.classroom.com for this year's session in Las Vegas (August 9-14). Support directly at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball.
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7/22/2021 • 47 minutes, 53 seconds
#85: Bucks-Suns Shot Quality with Simon Gerszberg
Have the Bucks or Suns been lucky this series? Is Chris Paul cold? Devin Booker hot? The founder and CEO of Shot Quality joins to explain his comprehensive model for both teams and players, and what it says about the 2021 Finals participants through five games. Get $200 off Sports Business classroom with the promo code Thinking Basketball at www.sportsbusiness.classroom.com for this year's session in Las Vegas (August 9-14). Support directly at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball.
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7/18/2021 • 34 minutes, 43 seconds
#84: Seth Partnow | Random Basketball
The Athletic's Seth Partnow returns to discuss the randomness in the NBA and these 2021 playoffs, although we detour off topic to discuss the Suns and Bucks, depth, the importance of wing players in today's game and much more. There's also a red-hot post show with an incredible Scottie Pippen take at patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/9/2021 • 1 hour, 5 minutes, 37 seconds
#83: David Thorpe | Offense in the playoffs
David Thorpe (TrueHoop) stops by to discuss “small ball,” the magic of Trae Young and the Hawks, innovation in the NBA and marketing diverse stars. Support at patreon.com/thinkingbasketball.
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6/18/2021 • 1 hour, 58 seconds
#82: Seerat Sohi | The Nets, Bucks and future of the NBA
The Ringer's Seerat Sohi joins to discuss the Nets-Bucks and Clippers-Jazz series in an attempt to make sense of the (possible) shifting of tides in the playoffs and what it means for the league moving forward. There are some rants about the Clippers and the Bucks. Support at patreon.com/thinkingbasketball.
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6/11/2021 • 1 hour, 9 minutes, 32 seconds
#81: Role player problems & LA narratives
Reactions to the first round of the NBA playoffs, re-handicapping NBA title odds, and a discussion around a new trend where role players are being played out of the rotation in certain playoff matchups and what that means for non star players or someone like Russell Westbrook. Get 20% at chroniclebooks.com and 10% of at hawthorne.com with the promo code THINKINGBASKETBALL. Also support at patreon.com/thinkingbasketball.
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6/5/2021 • 37 minutes, 9 seconds
# 80: Seth Partnow | Regular season vs playoffs
The Athletic's Seth Partnow stops by to discuss the first week of the 2021 playoffs, the growing differences in regular season versus playoff basketball, and where the sport is headed strategically. Follow Seth on twitter @SethPartnow and support at patreon.com/thinkingbasketball.
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5/28/2021 • 54 minutes, 50 seconds
#79: 2021 playoff preview with Dave DuFour
The Athletic's Dave DuFour joins for a comprehensive and riveting preview of the 2021 postseason, where we break down every possible playoff matchup without actually breaking down any playoff matchup. Get 20% at chroniclebooks.com and 10% of at hawthorne.com with the promo code THINKINGBASKETBALL. Also support at patreon.com/thinkingbasketball.
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5/19/2021 • 1 hour, 23 minutes, 34 seconds
#78: 2021 Sub All-Stars
#78: 2021 Sub All-Stars by Ben Taylor experiments
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5/11/2021 • 51 minutes, 4 seconds
#77: Chris Herring on Jokic, the Nets and 2021
Sports Illustrated's Chris Herring stops by to discuss some of his impressions about the unique 2021 season. We touch on the offense explosion, the potential of the Nets and MVP favorite Nikola Jokic. Get 10% off personalized products at hawthorne.co with the promo code thinkingbasketball and support at patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/25/2021 • 1 hour, 1 minute, 1 second
#76: Peaks Finale & playoff plus-minus
Answering questions and few thoughts on the end of the Greatest Peaks series, including playoff plus-minus and the best offensive players in the series. Populate the shuffle page at getshuffle.app/thinking basketball, get 12 free meals from Hello Fresh at hellofresh.com/thinkingbasketball12 (promo code THINKINGBASKETBALL12) and support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/12/2021 • 45 minutes, 6 seconds
#75: Evan Wasch, the NBA's EVP of Analytics (IDEA 2021 conference)
My fireside chat with Evan Wasch from the 2021 IDEA Analytics conference. We discuss officiating, scheduling, playoff formatting, balancing excitement with fairness and more. Get 12 free meals from Hello Fresh at hellofresh.com/thinkingbasketball12 (promo code THINKINGBASKETBALL12) and support at http://www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/13/2021 • 48 minutes, 6 seconds
#74: Inside LEBRON with BBall Index
Cranjis McBasketball (Tim) and Krishna Narsu stop by to dissect their new LEBRON metric. We discuss role types, coaching impact, stabilizing the noise in data and 3 points shooting and a ton more. Thanks to @crumpledJumper, Kostya Medvedosky (@kmedved) and Kevin Ferrigan (@NBACouchside) for input in these areas that we discuss. Follow Tim @Tim_NBA and Krishna @knarsu3. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and by signing up at getshuffle.app/thinkingbasketball and clipping a segment of the podcast.
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2/8/2021 • 1 hour, 2 minutes, 35 seconds
#73: Feel & “Basketball IQ” with Evan Zaucha
What exactly is “feel” in basketball? What do we mean when we talk about “basketball IQ?” Evan Zaucha from Premium Hoops draws on his neuroscience background to dig deeper into feel on the basketball court: we discuss reaction time, pattern recognition, chunking information and more, including how to develop this and how it changes in younger versus older players. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and get 10 free meals including free shipping at www.hellofresh.com/thinkingbasketball/10
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1/24/2021 • 1 hour, 4 minutes, 40 seconds
#72: Great defenses without great defenders
What are the characteristics of great defensive teams historically? Are they all built around rim protectors and interior defenders? How great can a defense be without a great defender? How do coaches fit into this? I go through the most successful regular season defenses to try and answer some of these question...and confuse Andrew Lang and Grant Long! Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and get $10 off at Hello Fresh by going to www.hellofresh.com/thinkingbasketball10
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1/11/2021 • 53 minutes, 37 seconds
#71 J Kyle Mann | Magic, Larry, Innovation and Comparison
The Ringer's J. Kyle Mann returns to continue our meta discussions about innovation and creativity in basketball, this time through the lens of Magic Johnson and Larry Bird...as well the historical tracing of comparisons like LaMelo Ball vs. Pete Maravich or Shaq evolving into Giannis. Follow Kyle @jkylemann & support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball.
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1/1/2021 • 1 hour, 6 minutes, 18 seconds
#70: Dave DuFour season preview 2021
The Athletic's Dave DuFour returns for our semi-annual preview episode. It's impossible to top last year's extravaganza, but we take a measured approach at guessing what the heck is going to happen in this unique NBA season. Follow Dave @DaveDuFourNBA, support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and get $90 off at Hello Fresh by going to www.hellofresh.com/thinkingbasketball90
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12/22/2020 • 1 hour, 22 minutes, 43 seconds
#69: What we don't see, we don't measure | What to look for when watching?
What should we look for when we watch games? How does our basketball concepts influence what stats we produce and what we're interested in measuring? This is a natural follow up to the Tyranny of Quantifiable (from Episode 3: “The Problem with Analytics”), where what we measure influences our thoughts, but our thoughts influence what we measure. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/10/2020 • 40 minutes, 54 seconds
#68: Klay & Golden State, Trade Assessments
I discuss Golden State's future outlook with Klay Thompson's injury and Steph Curry's return, along with the new Bucks roster after trading for Jrue Holiday. Additional trades in this episode: Chris Paul to Phoenix, Dennis Schroder to the Lakers, Danny Green and Seth Curry to Philadelphia and Robert Covington to Portland. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and get $90 off at Hello Fresh by going to www.hellofresh.com/thinkingbasketball90
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11/21/2020 • 42 minutes, 3 seconds
#67: The Top 10 passers in the NBA
Who are the best passers in the NBA? In this episode I dive in to discuss the game's best passers and the difficulty in balanced a variety of strengths and weaknesses that make this tricky to unpack. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball. Check out the $1/month offer (limited time) of the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/28/2020 • 50 minutes, 29 seconds
#66: The End of the First Option
I try to take down the idea of the “first option” and replace it with a new framework for thinking about player hierarchies. Also thoughts on the Lakers wrapping up the 2020 title and Daryl Morey's impact after stepping down in Houston. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball. Check out the $1/month offer (limited time) of the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/19/2020 • 39 minutes, 52 seconds
#65: Seth Partnow | Value vs. goodness, defensive versatility & 2-way players
Former Bucks Director of Analytics and Athletic writer Seth Partnow joins to discuss his upcoming book, The Finals MVP, defensive versatility in the playoffs and more (including Rudy Gobert and Anthony Davis on defense and building around centers). Follow Seth on twitter @SethPartnow. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball. Check out the $1/month offer (through Oct. 9) of the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/9/2020 • 59 minutes, 12 seconds
#64: Building modern offenses around big men | 5 Archetypes
Has the big man really gone away on offense? Or have they just moved beyond the post up? In this episode, I lay out ways to build strong offenses around five different archetypes of modern big men, including huge playoff stars like Anthony Davis and Nikola Jokic. And what does this mean for drafting big man prospects going forward? Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball. Check out the $1/month offer (through Oct. 9) of the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/3/2020 • 46 minutes, 29 seconds
#63: The Big Bubble lesson? Evaluating small samples...
There are lots of takeaways from the bubble, but is the biggest lesson how much we struggle with evaluating players/teams in small sample seasons? With a unique experiment on our hands, how much has jumping to the playoffs in a “new” season influenced our perceptions? And how much can we confidently conclude about players and teams in these small samples? Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball. Check out the $1/month offer (through Oct. 9) of the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketball
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9/25/2020 • 43 minutes, 28 seconds
#62: Nuggets Duo, Heat Zone & history's least scalable player
I talk Nuggets and how they match up with the Lakers, get into the Heat-Celtics clash, but before that look at the All-NBA teams and whether this year's version of Russell Westbrook is history's least scalable player. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball. Check out the free trial & discount of the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketballpod
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9/18/2020 • 51 minutes, 40 seconds
#61 Backwards Basketball | Giannis, Siakam and our playoff narratives
In a meandering free association exercise, I explore some of the new playoff narratives developing in the social media age – how big are “capital-M” Moments? What should we make of the Bucks and Giannis or Pascal Siakam and the Raptors? And what exactly is the “backwards” approach to basketball? Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball. Check out the free trial & discount of the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketballpod
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9/12/2020 • 43 minutes, 24 seconds
#60: 1st round analysis, 2nd round preview with Gibson Pyper
Coach Gibson Pyper from Half Court Hoops joins to deep dive into the matchups of the 2020 NBA playoffs. We discuss Giannis guarding Jimmy Butler, the Bucks approach to Miami, the success of the Celtics, Harden vs. Paul and the crazy Nuggets-Jazz series along with some Anthony Davis and Lakers-Clippers thoughts. Follow Gibson @halfcourthoops and support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball. Check out the free trial & discount of the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketballpod
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9/1/2020 • 1 hour, 5 minutes, 10 seconds
#59: The bubble playoffs with Dave DuFour
The Athletic's Dave DuFour stops by to preview the bubble playoffs. We discuss what to make of the Lakers, challengers to the Bucks, whether Dave is still out on the Clippers and the new look Denver Nuggets. Follow Dave @DaveDuFourNBA and support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball. Check out the free trial at the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketballpod
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8/14/2020 • 1 hour, 12 minutes, 14 seconds
#58 The Restart with Steve Jones Jr.
Former Nets assistant coach Steve Jones returns to the show for the NBA return in the Orlando bubble. We discuss how the environment helps and hurts certain players and teams, and what possible surprises are in store. Follow Steve @stevejones20 and support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball. Check out the free trial at the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketballpod
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7/30/2020 • 51 minutes, 14 seconds
#57: The most influential teams of All Time with Mike Prada
SBNation alum Mike Prada stops by to discuss the most influential NBA team of the last 75 years. How have the Curry Warriors, Jordan Bulls, Bad Boys Pistons and more influenced the game over the years? Mike and I bounce through a number of candidates, exploring the key concepts that have held (and evolved) over the decades...And while we agree on the most influential team ever, we also end up disagreeing over them. Follow Mike @MikePradaNBA and support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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7/7/2020 • 1 hour, 9 minutes, 54 seconds
#56: The defensive awards show with Mo Dakhil
Former NBA video coordinator Mo Dakhil joins to discuss the first ever Thinking Basketball Defensive Awards. We look at the best defenders in a number of key categories and discuss defensive superlatives in a more granular, qualitative approach than the typical All-Defensive team ballot. He also forces me to design trophies for each award. Follow Mo at @MoDakhil_NBA and support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/9/2020 • 1 hour, 9 minutes, 24 seconds
#55: Hakeem vs. Robinson vs. Russell | Andre Snellings, Great Debates
In the 5th episode of the Great Debates series, ESPN's Andre Snellings helps me size up three of the greatest defenders in NBA history, all with distinctly different offensive games. How successful were these players on both ends? Was Robinson better off playing more like Russell? And how would each of them look today? Follow Andre at @ProfessorDrz and support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/19/2020 • 1 hour, 25 minutes, 25 seconds
#54: J. Kyle Mann | The innovation of iconic moves & Soviet Sabonis
The Ringer's J. Kyle Mann returns to discuss creativity and basketball innovation in the midst of his “Ball the Right Moves” video series. We discuss crossovers, Kenny Sailors and the jump shot, Michael Jordan's bendy package and why Kyle's wrists are so sore. We also discuss the mystique of pre-NBA Arvydas Sabonis. Follow him at @jkylemann and support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/8/2020 • 1 hour, 1 minute, 40 seconds
#53: The Best 6th-men in NBA History
Who had the best season off the bench in NBA history? Do all the great 6th-man seasons belong to instant-offense scorers? Why are good defenders rarely acknowledged in Sixth Man of the Year voting? Can I ask anymore questions? In this episode, I rank the top 10 sixth man season of all-time. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/29/2020 • 1 hour, 8 minutes, 44 seconds
#52: The best off-ball players of the 3-point era
I reboot the inaugural episode with new data and a deeper look at the all-time best scorers in NBA history. What makes someone a great scorer? What misconceptions are common about volume vs. efficiency, on-ball vs. off-ball scoring and finishing vs. dependency. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/20/2020 • 52 minutes, 45 seconds
#51: Klay vs. Miller vs. Allen | Great Debates
In this episode of the Great Debates series, I compare all-time shooters and off-ball ballerinas Klay Thompson, Reggie Miller and Ray Allen. How were these players different? What changed when their roles and teammates changed? What are the important numbers and trends to know about each player, and, of course, who was better at his best? Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/8/2020 • 1 hour, 11 minutes, 13 seconds
#50: Top scorers in NBA history revisited
I reboot the inaugural episode with new data and a deeper look at the all-time best scorers in NBA history. What makes someone a great scorer? What misconceptions are common about volume vs. efficiency, on-ball vs. off-ball scoring and finishing vs. dependency. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/24/2020 • 1 hour, 28 minutes, 2 seconds
#49 Dave DuFour on MVPs & Dr. Maia Majumder on COVID-19 numbers
The Athletic's Dave DuFour on things and the NBA MVP. We compare 2020 LeBron James to another historical MVP winner. Dr. Maia Majumder also stops by (52:00) to provide insight into modeling COVID-19 and why we should exercise caution when it comes to public numbers or models...and avoid social gatherings. Follow them at @DaveDuFourNBA and @MaiaMajumder. Support at patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and access the post show pie cast with Dave.
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3/16/2020 • 1 hour, 12 minutes, 10 seconds
#48: Tatum vs. Giannis & BPM 2.0! Inside Basketball-Reference's new metric
I take a first look at the new Box Plus-Minus on Basketball-Reference that goes back to 1974, including an all-time top-10 list based on playoff BPM. What kind of player does the model love? What are the improvements from the old 1.0 on the site? And can the emerging Jayson Tatum unseat Giannis Antetokoumnpo in his quest to do something no one has ever done? Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/1/2020 • 53 minutes, 2 seconds
#47: A scandal! & Lessons from other sports | Danny Leroux
The undiscussed scandal of the dunk contest! A lesson in comparing statistical profiles. Plus, The Athletic's Danny Leroux discusses lessons from others sports and what it was like to find basketball later in life...and how that influences the way he views the game. Follow Danny @DannyLeroux. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball (Patreon post show on big men and the Most Improved Player)
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2/23/2020 • 1 hour, 8 minutes, 58 seconds
#46: Types of athleticism | Zion vs. Luka vs. Jokic with Eric Leidersdorf of P3
Eric Leidersdorf, director of biomechanics of P3 Sports Science, helps expand on our idea of “athleticism” and discusses his experience measuring and testing over 600 NBA players. What happened when Zion Williamson was measured in high school? How are Luka Doncic, James Harden and Nikola Jokic athletic in non-traditional ways? Follow P3 on twitter at @P3sportscience. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and get a FREE week trial at the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketballpod
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2/14/2020 • 1 hour, 5 minutes, 40 seconds
#45: Jackson Frank on Zion, Lillard & Jayson Tatum
Jackson Frank of the Athletic stops by to discuss the beginning of Zion Williamson's career, the white shot scoring of Damian Lillard and the nuances of first-time All-Star Jayson Tatum. Follow Jackson @jackfrank_jjf. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and get a FREE month trial at the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketballpod
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2/9/2020 • 58 minutes, 59 seconds
#44: 2020 Sub All-Stars
Who are the best players after the All-Stars? It's the 2nd annual sub All-Star team, where I agonizingly select the next group of players who are still valuable, but not quite All-Stars. Apologies to Montrezl Harrell in advance. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/3/2020 • 58 minutes, 16 seconds
#43: Most Improved Players in 2020
How much should defense factor into the MIP discussion? Is the award too scoring centric? I stack up the Most Improved players this year by diving into overall changes in impact and looking at where players have grown on offense and defense. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and get a FREE week trial at the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketballpod
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1/25/2020 • 50 minutes, 17 seconds
#42: How players use data | Shane Battier
Heat VP Shane Battier joins to discuss how players use data as part of their game preparation and how it can create an advantage. How has the scouting process changed in the last 20 years? Are players resistant to more data? And did he really have a special packet of information delivered before each game by the analytics maesters in Houston? Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/17/2020 • 54 minutes, 9 seconds
#41: Duncan vs. Garnett | Andre Snellings, Great Debates
ESPN's Andre Snellings and I go deep on a classic player comparison between Tim Duncan and Kevin Garnett. We stack up their playoff comparisons, historical impact metrics, team circumstances and how they would fare in today's NBA. Follow Andre @ProfessorDrz and support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/10/2020 • 1 hour, 37 minutes, 24 seconds
#40: Should the Board Man get paid!? | Rebounding 101
How important is rebounding? And how much do rebounding stats really tell us about players today? This episode takes a deep dive into the value of rebounding, the context behind rebounding numbers and the diminishing returns involved. http://basketball-statistics.com/blog1/2009/12/06/the-diminishing-returns-of-rebounds-and-other-stats/ Pomeroy: https://theathletic.com/789794/2019/01/29/kenpom-offensive-rebounding-is-at-an-all-time-low-what-are-teams-really-missing-out-on/ Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and get a FREE week trial at the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketballpod
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1/5/2020 • 53 minutes, 26 seconds
#39: The post up is dying & the stunning physics of out of bounds calls
An actual physicist joins to explain the stunning reality of out of bounds calls like the LeBron James one on Christmas. Also, diving into modern post ups and Rick Carlise's controversial comments on Kristaps Porzingis and some observations from the Christmas games. Follow Matt at @MrJCrossesRoads Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and get a FREE week trial at the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketballpod
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12/28/2019 • 46 minutes, 54 seconds
#38: Analyzing trades | Who fits where and what do teams need?
Breaking down a number of proposed trades involving marquee players like Chris Paul, Ben Simmons, Jrue Holiday and more, with an emphasis on how these players fit on contending teams and what those top teams need to get over the hump. Also, is heliocentrism good for basketball? Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and get a FREE week trial at the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketballpod
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12/22/2019 • 1 hour, 3 minutes, 6 seconds
#37: Dirk vs. Barkley vs. Malone | Nate Duncan, Great Debates
In the 2nd episode of the Great Debates series, Nate and I size up Dirk Nowitzki, Charles Barkley, Karl Malone and the best portage systems in Eastern Canada. Who was better at his best? What are the important numbers and trends to know about each player? How do they succeed in the regular season versus the playoffs, and which of these players is best suited for playing next to high-level teammates? Follow Nate @NateDuncanNBA and support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/13/2019 • 1 hour, 28 minutes, 39 seconds
#36: Steve Jones Jr. | The best offenses in the NBA
Former Nets assistant coach Steve Jones discusses the principles of the best offensive teams in the NBA in 2020, including the incredible Raptors, Kemba replacing Kyrie and the LeBron-Anthony Davis partnership. Also, stories of dislocated shoulders. Follow Steve @stevejones20 and support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/5/2019 • 57 minutes, 57 seconds
#35: Designing a more perfect NBA based on fan behavior
I went out to talk to real fans, both casual and hardcore, to research the things NBA consumers love and hate about the current state of the league. Is it load management? Tanking? In a special episode, we'll try to identify the real problems facing the league and use fan feedback to propose ideas for a more perfect NBA. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/30/2019 • 1 hour, 8 minutes, 17 seconds
#34: Harden vs. Kobe vs. Wade | Great Debates
In the first episode of the Great Debates series, I size up James Harden, Kobe Bryant, Dwayne Wade and deep sea aquatic creatures. Who was better at his best? What are the important numbers and trends to know about each player? How do they succeed in the regular season versus the playoffs, and which of these players is best suited for playing next to high-level teammates? Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and get a FREE month trial at the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketballpod
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11/22/2019 • 1 hour, 20 minutes, 25 seconds
#33: J. Kyle Mann | Luka, Legacies & LeBron Jr.
The Ringer's J. Kyle Mann joins to discuss Luka Doncic, legacies, along with Kevin Garnett and Shaq in the modern NBA. Also, how does having a legendary parent impact young players? And what does that mean for LeBron James Jr. and 2020 draft prospects like Cole Anthony? Following Kyle @jkylemann. Post show at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and get a FREE month trial at the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketballpod
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11/16/2019 • 1 hour, 9 minutes, 56 seconds
#32: The Science and data of Load Management
Why are do superstars really play fewer minutes today? Does load management work? In this episode I take a deep dive into this hot button issue by looking at available data and unpacking some of the biomechanics involved in basketball. I also answer questions about true shooting percentage and share how my magic facial recognition powers led to some real-life magic. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball and get a FREE month trial at the Athletic at http://www.theathletic.com/thinkingbasketballpod
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11/9/2019 • 43 minutes, 45 seconds
#31: Ben Falk | The one-number debate, film in analytics & measuring defense
#31: Ben Falk | The one-number debate, film in analytics & measuring defense by Ben Taylor experiments
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10/30/2019 • 1 hour, 17 minutes, 57 seconds
#30: 2020 season preview with Dave DuFour
The Athletic's Dave DuFour joins the podcast for a mega season preview of the upcoming 2020 season! We size up the playoff teams in each conference, the Terminator makes an appearance, and there's even a post show podcast for Patreon subscribers. Follow Dave @DaveDuFourNBA. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/22/2019 • 1 hour, 41 minutes, 1 second
#28: 2020 Regression candidates with Danny Leroux
In part III of our look at the aging curve, Danny Leroux, returns for a (less fun) foray into players we think are candidates to give way a bit to Father Time this year, or just take a meaningful step back for other reasons. Follow Danny on twitter @DannyLeroux. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/10/2019 • 1 hour, 34 minutes, 39 seconds
#27: 2020 Breakout candidates Part II with Danny Leroux
In part 2, Danny Leroux returns to round out our most likely breakout player candidates of 2020. Follow him on twitter @DannyLeroux. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/1/2019 • 1 hour, 11 minutes, 4 seconds
#26: 2020 Breakout candidates with Danny Leroux
In part I, Danny Leroux, Athletic columnist, host of realgm radio and co-host of the Dunc'd On podcast joins me for a deep dive into the breakout player candidates of 2020. We focused mainly on under-25 players, looking at the “how” and “how much” of players likely to improve this year. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball Follow Danny @DannyLeroux
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9/27/2019 • 1 hour, 1 minute, 35 seconds
#25: The 2010s All-Decade Team
By popular demand, I took a crack at the All-Decade team for the 2010s by sizing up which players had the most championship equity over the last 10 years. I also discuss NBA.com's controversial choices (Kobe Bryant & Carmelo Anthony) and some interesting omissions along with a brief discussion about MVP criteria. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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8/24/2019 • 46 minutes, 4 seconds
#24: Devin Booker, skill curves & young scorers on bad teams
An exploration of young volume scorers on really bad teams. What happens historically when these players are surrounded by better talent? How often are their numbers “empty?” And how does that influence our perception of young, exciting players like Devin Booker and Zach LaVine? Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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8/13/2019 • 49 minutes, 14 seconds
#23: Top playmakers in NBA history
A look at the greatest playmakers in NBA history using an updated model that balances shot creation, passing ability, turnovers and teammates/team performance to figure out who made life the easiest for their teammates. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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8/2/2019 • 1 hour, 8 minutes, 32 seconds
#22 Cole Zwicker on the 2019 NBA draft
Draft expert Cole Zwicker joins to discuss draft concepts, draft philosophy, and provide an in-depth breakdown of how this year's rookies fit on their new teams. Following him @colezwicker on twitter. www.thestepien.com. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/21/2019 • 1 hour, 39 minutes, 57 seconds
#21: Incredible stories from Game 6 of the Finals, AD trade
I dive into the final minutes of the NBA Finals and the incredible on-court stories that history might completely forget. Also some reflections on the series as a whole and thoughts on the value of Anthony Davis after the reported Pelicans-Lakers trade. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/17/2019 • 51 minutes, 34 seconds
#20: How the Raptors klawed away at the Warriors
After Game 4, an in-depth breakdown of key players like Steph Curry, how Toronto succeeded on offense against a depleted Warriors defense, the emerging brilliance of Nick Nurse, and Fred Van Vleet's defense / phonetics. I also discuss Kawhi Leonard's narrative along with Kevin Durant and the Warriors supporting cast. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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6/8/2019 • 50 minutes, 3 seconds
#19: Steve Jones Jr. on Game 1 of the NBA Finals
Former Brooklyn Nets assistant coach Steve Jones Jr. stops by for hardcore Xs & Os on the Warriors-Raptors, his theory about Golden State’s “data collection,” adjustments for the rest of the series, Kevin Durant’s defensive value & Toronto’s 2nd-best player. Follow Steve on twitter @stevejones20. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/31/2019 • 49 minutes, 52 seconds
#18: Nerds can't tell you how to play | skill vs. strategy
Are the Rockets doomed with their analytics-driven style? Should midrange jumpers make a comeback? In this episode I address the controversy around “letting nerds tell you how to play” and the idea that strategic decisions are separate from on-court skills. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/18/2019 • 39 minutes, 13 seconds
#17: Dave DuFour on GoT, NBA Playoffs & the greatness of Steph Curry
The Athletic's Dave DuFour stops by to discuss the greatness of Steph Curry, similarities between Kawhi Leonard and Michael Jordan and why some Toronto players won't shoot. Follow him @DaveDuFourNBA. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/10/2019 • 1 hour, 31 seconds
#16: Neil Paine on the Battle for Basketball's Soul
Neil Paine of 538 stops by to discuss James Harden's controversial play style, the 3-point revolution, the emergence of the 76ers & some insight into just how influential analytics have become behind the scenes. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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5/4/2019 • 57 minutes, 56 seconds
#15: Adjustments the Bucks can make in Game 2 & Round 2 thoughts
Reactions to Game 1 between the Bucks and Celtics along with adjustments Milwaukee can make moving forward, overachieving in the playoffs, and brief thoughts on the other 3 second rounds series. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/28/2019 • 35 minutes, 47 seconds
#14: Projecting the best shooters of the 3-pt era
Which 2019 rookies will become great shooters? Can we predict who will be a great shooter based on the beginning of their career and the years before they entered the NBA? What are the statistical patterns of the greatest shooters of the 3-point era? In this episode I explore some of the best shooters ever and their shooting profiles along with forecasting the best shooters of this year's rookies. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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4/4/2019 • 40 minutes, 31 seconds
#13: Unexpected superstars breaking their ceiling
How many players became superstars by blowing through their ceiling? How often are we surprised by guys becoming better than we could have ever expected? In this episode, I discuss ~20 superstars who entered the league since 1997 and how many of them achieved their potential, and how many reached amazing heights in some unexpected manner. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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3/10/2019 • 45 minutes, 6 seconds
#12: Mo Dakhil & scouting the East contenders
Former Spurs & Clippers video coordinator Mo Dakhil (@MoDakhil_NBA) stops by to size up Xs and Os among the Celtics, Bucks, 76ers and Raptors. We discuss how to watch a game, Toronto’s 2 different offenses, tradeoffs with defensive schemes for Milwaukee and playoff-defining movie speeches from Draft Day and Any Given Sunday. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/23/2019 • 42 minutes, 59 seconds
#11: The 2019 Sub-All Stars, Trade thoughts
After biting off more than I can chew, I try to list the next best group of players -- the "Sub All-Star Team" -- after the top 25 or so players in the league. I also weigh in on Philadelphia and Toronto and their big deadline moves. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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2/9/2019 • 39 minutes, 37 seconds
#10: Big man defense in 2019 & James Harden's portability
With new trends toward spacing and faster pace, how valuable are the best defenders in the league in 2019? Also, is James Harden's scoring binge during his hot streak conducive to championship-level basketball? Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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1/11/2019 • 33 minutes, 58 seconds
#9: Bad signs for Ben Simmons and Donovan Mitchell
The reasons Ben Simmons is already close to his peak and why Donovan's Mitchell's sophomore slump is a bad omen for his future value as a prospect. Plus, the problem with Bill Simmons Trade Value philosophy. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/23/2018 • 31 minutes, 53 seconds
#8: Luka, Jaren and the top rookie seasons ever
Sizing up Luka Doncic and his main ROY competitor Jaren Jackson, where these two exciting rookies rank among the all-time best first-year players in NBA history, and a controversial take on Michael Jordan's rookie year with a surprise pick for best rookie ever. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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12/10/2018 • 45 minutes, 58 seconds
#7: The Bucks historic start & interpreting modern numbers
The Bucks are off to an incredible start after a month – where does history say they will finish? How have other teams fared who started similarly? And what should we make of the huge numbers being put up by players around the league?
Visual history spacing: http://www.backpicks.com/2017/11/02/the-history-of-nba-spacing/
Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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11/13/2018 • 36 minutes, 36 seconds
#6: Nate Duncan, Part II - LeBron vs. Jordan
In Part II of our conversation, Nate and I (finally) talk Jordan vs. LeBron, comparing levels of competition, conference disparities, outside shooting, defensive consistency, longevity and the problems with Delorean-free time travel.
If you like it, please support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/18/2018 • 56 minutes, 17 seconds
#5: Nate Duncan, Part I - 2019 League trends & the GOATness of Steph Curry
In Part I, Nate Duncan stops by the show to discuss parity, isoball trends and the liabilities of weak offense and defense. We also discuss Steph Curry’s place among the all-time great seasons and his underrated four-year run.
If you like it, please support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/15/2018 • 38 minutes, 9 seconds
#4: The Lakers Math Problem & the Promise of Passing
In this episode, I discuss the Lakers overload of on-ball players and how the pieces will fit together with LeBron James and the returning talent. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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10/4/2018 • 32 minutes, 31 seconds
#3: The Problem with Analytics
I discuss the good and the bad of analytics while pondering the single most important philosophical question of our time: Can the Eye Test and Stats ever co-exist? I also reminisce about a controversial Dwight Howard vs. Rudy Gobert comparison. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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9/12/2018 • 32 minutes, 31 seconds
#2: Best Scorers in NBA History Part II
In part 2, I discuss the value of lower efficiency scorers like Russell Westbrook and Allen Iverson, sort out who improved and declined the most in the playoffs and stack up the best overall scorers in NBA history. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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8/25/2018 • 39 minutes, 10 seconds
#1: Best Scorers in NBA History Part I
How valuable were Wilt's 50 points per game? Kobe's 35? A new way to measure scoring seasons based on historical impact data reveals just how much big scoring can move the needle compared to other components of offense. Armed with this information, I then stack up the best regular-season scorers in NBA history.
If you like it, please support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball
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